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2023 timeline contents

2023 - Mars sample return mission | Asteroid sample return mission | Laser-driven fusion energy makes progress | Turkey celebrates its 100th anniversary as an independent republic | Completion of the London "super sewer" | A permanent cure for migraine is becoming available | Borneo’s rainforests have been wiped from the map | Gorillas are going extinct in Central Africa

 

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2023

Mars sample return mission

The Mars sample return mission - considered the "holy grail" of robotic space missions - is by far the costliest and most complex exploration of Mars ever conceived. Due to financial problems with both NASA and ESA, the project was almost scrapped. Following an outcry from the scientific community, however, it eventually goes ahead.

With a launch window of 2018,* returning five years later,* the mission consists of an Earth/Mars transfer stage, Mars orbiter, descent module, collection mechanism, ascent module and Earth re-entry stage. Around 30 samples,* totalling 500 grams of rock and soil, are deposited into the ascension vehicle, which then launches and exits the Martian atmosphere, before making the return trip back to Earth.

Once they are recovered, the samples are placed in a "curation" facility to isolate them and prevent contamination. Advanced instruments are then used to analyse the rock and soil, at a level of detail that was unavailable with previous surface rovers and their relatively limited tools. The samples hold tremendous scientific value. They provide decades of research into the Martian environment, and conclude as a major milestone in the exploration of Mars. The next major mission will be a manned landing.

 

mars sample return future 2022 timeline mission
Credit: NASA/JPL

 

 

Asteroid sample return mission

In addition to Mars, a sample is also returned from an asteroid this year. Origins Spectral Interpretation Resource Identification Security Regolith Explorer (OSIRIS-REx) is NASA's first asteroid sample-return effort and only the second mission in history to retrieve samples from an asteroid.* Launched in 2016, it is the third selected mission in the New Frontiers Program, along with Juno and New Horizons.

The probe is sent to 1999 RQ36, a carbonaceous rock approximately 580m (1,900 ft) in diameter and classed as an Apollo asteroid. These are near-Earth asteroids whose orbits cross that of Earth. 1999 RQ36 is of particular interest because it has a small chance of colliding with Earth between the years 2169 and 2199.*

Arriving in 2019, the probe carries a suite of instruments which includes high resolution cameras for close-range imaging of the surface. The sample is returned to Earth in 2023. It reveals much about the formation and evolution of the early Solar System, initial stages of planet formation, and the source of organic compounds which led to the formation of life.* The total cost of the mission (including the launch vehicle) is approximately $1 billion.

 

1999 rq36 2023 gif movie asteroid nasa sample return mission timeline

 

 

Laser-driven fusion energy makes progress

Magnetic confinement, as seen in ITER, has thus far been the preferred approach to studying fusion energy. However, the potential of lasers is now being explored in greater depth. Following years of engineering and construction, a major new research facility is operational in Europe.* This aims to demonstrate the feasibility of commercial-level fusion.

The High Power laser Energy Research facility (HiPER) uses a laser-driven inertial confinement reactor. Lasers are fired into a central core, where they collide with a single fuel pellet, compressing it to high density. A second laser is then fired, in a more intense pulse with nanosecond precision. This ignites the fuel, raising the core temperature to over a hundred million degrees celsius – hotter than the centre of the Sun – allowing fusion reactions to occur. Helium is formed, releasing energetic neutrons in the process. These neutrons are captured, generating electricity.

HiPER's "fast ignition" approach uses much smaller lasers than previous designs, yet generates power of the same magnitude. This offers a total "fusion gain" that is much higher than earlier devices, with a ten-fold reduction in construction costs.

HiPER is only a prototype - but when fully developed, fusion will become a revolutionary form of energy production. It will be a giant leap forward in addressing climate change, pollution, energy security and the ever increasing demand for consumption.

 

 

 

Turkey celebrates its 100th anniversary as an independent republic

Celebrations are taking place this year to mark the centenary of the Turkish Republic. As part of this anniversary, one of the grandest infrastructure projects in history is completed: the Canal Istanbul. This is an artificial waterway connecting the Black Sea to the Sea of Marmara. Measuring 30 miles (48 km) in length, and 500 ft (150m) in width, it dissects the European side of Istanbul in two, thus creating a new island between Asia and Istanbul.*

It bypasses the already existing Bosphorus Strait, substantially reducing congestion on the water and minimising the potential for collisions between large oil tankers.* Excavated soil is used in the construction of a major new port, together with an airport, as well as the burying of defunct mines in the region.

Turkey has also achieved energy independence by now, with 10 billion barrels of oil and over 1.5 trillion cubic metres of natural gas uncovered in the Black Sea.* These huge reserves have enabled the country to completely end its reliance on foreign imports and to meet its energy needs for the next 40 years. This comes at a time when much of the world is struggling with peak oil.

Turkey's standing in the world has increased significantly in recent years,* boosted further by its entry into the EU, allowing it to serve as a bridge between Islam and the West.*

 

turkey future oil energy 2020 2025

 

 

Completion of the London "super sewer"

The Thames Tideway scheme is the biggest wastewater project in London since the mid-19th century. It involves a major upgrade of the aging Victorian system - helping to prevent discharge into the River Thames during periods of heavy rainfall and improving the overall quality of the city's water. The storage-and-transfer tunnel is 35km long, with shafts 25m in diameter, 75m below ground for most of the route.* It runs across the city from west to east, then west again to a final pumping station.

Prior to the completion of this megaproject, some 32 million cubic metres of raw sewage was being discharged into the river each year. An overflow was occuring every week, even during moderate rainfall. By 2009, the situation had become so bad that the British government was threatened with legal action in the European Court of Justice.*

The Thames Tideway attracted controversy, however. Opponents raised concerns over the cost to Londoners (£4.1bn) and the impact of construction works on parks and house prices. Nevertheless, it goes ahead and is eventually finished by 2023.*

 

 

 

A permanent cure for migraine is becoming available

Migraine is a leading cause of disability, affecting one in five people worldwide. This debilitating condition is characterised by severe headaches, nausea, vomiting, photophobia (increased sensitivity to light), and phonophobia (increased sensitivity to sound). Approximately half of those affected have such severe attacks that they cannot function normally in their day-to-day life. In 2010, scientists discovered a genetic defect linked to this condition, which provided a target for new treatments. After years of clinical trials, a drug is now available that corrects the faulty gene permanently.*

 

permanent cure migraine future treatments

 

 

Borneo’s rainforests have been wiped from the map

The world’s 3rd largest island, Borneo was once home to a staggering range of biodiversity, covering hundreds of thousands of square kilometres. Its lush rainforests have now almost completely disappeared as a result of deforestation.* Many rare species are declared extinct around this time including the Orangutan – one of the most intelligent of the great apes.*

 

orangutan borneo 2023 future deforestation extinct
© Brownm39 | Dreamstime.com

 

 

Gorillas are going extinct in Central Africa

Rampant and uncontrolled poaching, together with large-scale deforestation, agriculture, mining, pollution, disease and militia operations have led to the terminal decline of gorilla populations.* Only those in captivity now remain.

 

gorilla gorillas extinct 2020 2025 future population africa congo basin
Credit: Dozyg

 

 

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References

1 A Wet Run for a Dry Planet: NASA Tests Drilling Technology in the Desert with Mars Sample Return in Mind [Slide Show], Scientific American:
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=a-wet-run-for-a-dry-planet
Accessed 10th December 2011.

2 "The report's authors said that, regardless of the start date, it would take five years for the precious 500g (1.1lb) sample to be returned to Earth."
See Date set for Mars sample mission, BBC:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7500371.stm
Accessed 10th December 2011.

3 Seven target sites announced for Mars sample return, Nature:
http://blogs.nature.com/news/2011/12/seven_target_sites_announced_f.html
Accessed 10th December 2011.

4 Japan's Hayabusa spacecraft was the first, successfully returning tiny grains of the asteroid Itokawa to Earth in June 2010.
See Hayabusa, Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hayabusa
Accessed 1st August 2012.

5 Long term impact risk for (101955) 1999 RQ36, Science Direct:
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0019103509002334
Accessed
1st August 2012.

6 The OSIRIS-REx Mission - An Asteroid Sample Return Mission, The University of Arizona:
http://osiris-rex.lpl.arizona.edu/
Accessed
1st August 2012.

7 "Construction of the HiPER facility is envisaged to start mid-decade, with operation in the early 2020s."
See HiPER Project - Key Facts, hiper-laser.org:
http://www.hiper-laser.org/keyfacts/KeyFacts.asp
Accessed 28th March 2010.

8 The Istanbul Canal project, RIA Novosti:
http://en.rian.ru/infographics/20110430/163775677.html
Accessed 11th December 2011.

9 Istanbul's new Bosphorus canal 'to surpass Suez or Panama', The Guardian:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/apr/27/istanbul-new-bosphorus-canal
Accessed 11th December 2011.

10 Official: Black sea oil can meet Turkey's need for next 40 years, World Bulletin:
http://www.worldbulletin.net/index.php?aType=haberArchive&ArticleID=37743
Accessed 11th December 2011.

11 Friedman on Turkey in the Next 100 Years, YouTube:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y-a_1tJU51s
Accessed 11th December 2011.

12 Enlargement of the European Union, Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enlargement_of_the_European_Union
Accessed 11th December 2011.

13 Thames Tideway Project, London, United Kingdom, water-technology.net:
http://www.water-technology.net/projects/thameswater/
Accessed 1st June 2012.

14 UK faces European court for allowing raw sewage to enter Thames, The Guardian:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2009/oct/09/river-thames-pollution-european-union
Accessed 1st June 2012.

15 "[Chancellor of the Exchequer] Mr Osborne reaffirmed government commitment to the Thames Tideway Tunnel - or super-sewer - which will cost £4.1 billion and is due to be finished in 2023."
See Better roads, rail travel and new river crossings in spending boost for London, The Evening Standard:
http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/news/politics/better-roads-rail-travel-and-new-river-crossings-in-spending-boost-for-london-6373195.html
Accessed 1st June 2012.

16 Migraine cause 'identified' as genetic defect, BBC News:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-11408113
Accessed 27th September 2010.

17 Home, YouTube.com:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jqxENMKaeCU
Accessed 14th June 2009.

18 Wild Orangutans: Extinct by 2023?, nationalgeographic.com:
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2003/09/0930_030930_orangutanthreat.html
Accessed 14th June 2009.

19 Gorillas Could be Extinct in the Congo Basin by the Mid-2020s, Tree Hugger:
http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/03/gorillas-could-be-extinct-in-the-congo-basin-by-the-mid-2020s.php
Accessed 14th April 2010.

 

 
 
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