Extreme weather news and discussion

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Our National Flood Insurance Program Is a Trainwreck
by Tik Root
December 17, 2023

Introduction:
(Mother Jones) Congress created the National Flood Insurance Program in 1968 as a way for the federal government to bear a risk that private companies wouldn’t. Since then, Uncle Sam has backed the vast majority of flood insurance policies in the United States.

Yet it is impossible to buy or renew such plans directly with the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), which administers the program. Instead, the government relies upon a network of private companies to sell and service its policies—and hands them nearly one-third of the premiums the program brings in. Lately, that’s come to almost $1 billion a year.

“It is certainly something that should be examined,” said Stephen Ellis, president of the watchdog organization Taxpayers for Common Sense. “It would be one thing if it were a very high performing program. Certainly that’s not been the case.”

The government’s flood insurance program is plagued by low participation rates and is deep in debt. How its run has often drawn scrutiny, and earlier this year, a bipartisan group of lawmakers proposed legislation that would, among other things, cap the compensation paid to private brokers, who do not take on any risk. There also have been calls for FEMA to sell policies directly to consumers. Proponents of such changes say they would make it easier, and potentially cheaper, for property owners to obtain coverage, while saving taxpayers money.

Between 2017 and 2022, the National Flood Insurance Program paid private brokers $5.8 billion for commissions and expenses.
“Flood insurance is a government service,” said Rob Moore, director of the Water & Climate Team at the Natural Resources Defense Council. “People should be able to buy it directly from FEMA. No question.”
Read more here: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2 ... brokers/
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Number of People Affected by Tropical Cyclones Has Increased Sharply Since 2002
December 20, 2023

Introduction:
(Eurekalert) The number of people affected by tropical cyclones has nearly doubled from 2002 to 2019, reaching nearly 800 million people in 2019, according to a new study.

While more people are affected by tropical cyclones in Asia than any other region, every affected world region saw an increase in the number of people exposed to tropical cyclones, which are expected to become more intense and possibly more frequent as the climate warms.

“Although our study period is not sufficiently long to understand long-term trends, we observe a steady increase in both population and person-days exposure for all storm intensities in the past two decades.” said Renzhi Jing, the study’s lead author and a postdoctoral scholar at Stanford University.

The age distribution of those exposed to cyclones has shifted away from children under the age of 5 toward people who are aged 60 and older compared to the early 2000s, tracking with population trends in the regions most affected.

The study also found that people exposed to tropical cyclones are more socioeconomically deprived than those unexposed within the same country, and this relationship was more pronounced for people exposed to higher-intensity storms during the study period, which was from 2002 through 2019.
Read more here: https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1029649
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"Extraordinary Torrential Downpours" Flood Southern California
by Rebecca Falconer and Emma Hurt
December 22, 2023

Introduction:
(Axios) A storm that's been flooding Southern California streets with historic rainfall, disrupting travel and prompting water rescues and evacuations is expanding into the Southwest on Friday.

The big picture: The slow-moving storm on Thursday morning dumped a month's worth of rain in one hour on Oxnard, a Ventura County city west of Los Angeles. As of Friday morning, more than 26 million people were under flood watches from Southern California to Central Arizona.

(See linked article for Twitter feeds)

Why it matters: The "dramatic" storm has already unleashed historic rainfall rates. Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with UCLA, said during a Thursday briefing that the Ventura County downpour is likely "the heaviest rainfall that has been observed in this area in recorded history and is likely a multi-centennial kind of event,"

• "These are genuinely extraordinary torrential downpours and importantly, they're continuing."

The latest: The National Weather Service said that Southern California would continue to see heavy rainfall Friday morning.

• It predicted "upwards of 8 inches" of rain in the region with a "significant flash flood risk in place for the mountain ranges, recent burn scars and urban areas."
Read more here: https://www.axios.com/2023/12/22/calif ... a-county
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Christmas Eve: Hottest since 1997 after 15.3C recorded near Heathrow

1 hour ago

Sunday has been declared the warmest Christmas Eve in the UK since 1997.

Temperatures hit 15.3C in Heathrow, west London, and Cippenham in Slough, the Met Office said.

There had been speculation it could be the warmest 24 December ever but that record remains consigned to 1931 - when 15.5C was recorded in Aberdeen and Banff in Scotland.

But the unseasonably mild weather lays the groundwork for what could be the hottest Christmas Day since 2016.

"The temperatures will peak today," Met Office forecaster Dan Stroud told the PA news agency. "There is a slight downward trend in temperatures for Christmas Day, but we're still expecting them to be comfortably above average."

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-67817500
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Beijing records longest cold wave in modern history

Source: CNN

Updated 1:29 AM EST, Mon December 25, 2023
CNN — Beijing recorded its longest cold wave since records began in 1951 as the biting temperatures and snowfall experienced in the Chinese capital and elsewhere began to ease.

The temperature recorded at Beijing’s Nanjiao weather station rose to above zero degrees Celsius (32 degrees Fahrenheit) Sunday afternoon for the first time in days, state media Beijing Daily reported.

“Since temperature first dropped to below zero degrees on December 11, the temperature had remained below that line for more than 300 hours,” Beijing Daily wrote.

A strong cold wave swept through most of China this month, pushing the heating capacity of some cities in northern China to its limit. China’s central province of Henan has seen multiple system failures.
Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/24/asia/bei ... index.html
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South Korea's capital records heaviest single-day snowfall in December for 40 years

Source: ABC News/AP

December 31, 2023, 3:50 AM
SEOUL, South Korea -- The South Korean capital, Seoul, received the biggest single-day snowfall recorded in December for more than 40 years on Saturday but there have been no reports of any weather-related deaths or injuries.

The country's weather agency said Sunday that 12.2 centimeters (4.8 inches) of snow fell on Seoul the previous day, the heaviest since 1981.

The Korea Meteorological Administration said a heavy snow advisory was issued for Seoul's entire area on Saturday before it was lifted later in the day. It said other parts of South Korea also received snow or rain on Saturday.

South Korea's safety agency said that Saturday's snow in Seoul and other areas caused traffic congestion, but no snowfall-related deaths or injuries have been reported.
Read more: https://abcnews.go.com/International/wi ... -106016725
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California Coast Hit with Colossal Waves and Devastating Flooding for Third Day
by Arianna Gochill
December 30, 2023

Introduction:
(Mother Jones) Abnormally large waves, some as high as 40 feet, have been pummelling Southern California’s coastal communities since Thursday, plaguing the areas with massive flooding and dangerous rip currents. According to reports from CNN, the extreme conditions have forced beach closures, washed away cars, and flooded seaside businesses and residences. Several of these communities are still recovering from previous floods earlier in the year.

(See linked article for Twitter feeds, including photos and videos)

Ventura County, one of the hardest hit areas, has closed its beaches through New Year’s Eve, while San Diego and Orange counties are under flood warnings until 2 a.m. on Monday. The National Weather Service in Los Angeles has officially deemed beaches, piers, and harbors in San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, Ventura, & L.A. unsafe.

Climate change could be to blame. On Thursday, Dr. Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at the University of California-Los Angeles, noted on X that global warming may be playing a role, as climate change has been shown to cause rising sea levels. California has felt the effects of climate change severely over the past few years, with several deadly floods, wildfires, and droughts—all natural phenomena exacerbated by climbing temperatures.
Read more here: https://www.motherjones.com/environmen ... rd-day/
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Northeast Winter Storm Kick-starts Stretch of Extreme Weather
by Andrew Freedman
Updarted January 7 2024

Introduction:
(Axios) Snow continues on Sunday in Southern New England as the first in a series of storms affects the East Coast.

Threat level: This storm is just the start of an extreme and dangerous weather week across the country that could feature nearly every weather hazard, from flooding rains to hurricane force winds and blizzard conditions.

• The National Weather Service is already sounding alarms about a follow-up storm early this week that will usher in a potentially record-breaking, expansive and long-lasting Arctic outbreak for the Plains and parts of the West.

The latest: The weekend event featured mainly rain from D.C. northward into Philadelphia, with 0.2 inches of wet snow falling in New York City.
Read more here: https://www.axios.com/2024/01/05/north ... her- week
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Intense Winter Storm Causes Power Outages and Disrupts Travel Across the U.S.
by Rebecca Falconer, and Andrew Freedman
January 9, 2024

Introduction:
(Axios) One in a fusillade of winter storms is bringing blizzard conditions, damaging winds, heavy rain, flooding and the threat of additional tornadoes across large parts of the U.S. Tuesday into Wednesday.

The big picture: A whopping 196 million people are under wind advisories, warnings and watches, including entire states from Florida to Maine, as a powerhouse cold front associated with an intensifying storm pushes east.

• Wind speeds just above the surface are expected to hit record intensities for the month of January, possibly exceeding 100 mph at only 1,000 to 4,000 feet above the surface in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

• This is likely to translate to surface wind gusts above 50 mph across large areas, leading to power outages that could affect millions.

• These winds, known as a low-level jet stream, will accompany a broad, narrow corridor of record-setting amounts of water vapor from the tropics to New England, where three inches or more of rain may fall. This is known as an atmospheric river.

• Higher gusts of up to 70 mph are forecast for coastal areas of the East Coast, including New York City. Winds this strong could virtually shut down the city's major airports at times.
Read more here: https://www.axios.com/2024/01/09/winte ... ges-axios
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