2022 midterm election thread

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Herschel Walker Has Confirmed He Had a Kid With His Accuser

Source: Daily Beast

While spouting off nonsensical explanations during a gaggle on Thursday afternoon, the Senate hopeful likely didn't realize he confirmed he indeed has a child with his accuser.

GOP Senate candidate Herschel Walker’s attempt to answer reporter questions Thursday about whether he paid for an ex-girlfriend’s abortion crashed and burned, as he implied in rambling responses that he has not confirmed that the ex-girlfriend was the mother of one of his children.

The problem with that explanation? Walker has, in fact, confirmed that this woman is the mother of one of his kids. He did so to The Daily Beast in June, when we first broke the story about an undisclosed child.

Asked whether he’d reached out to any of the mothers of his children, Walker replied, “Why do I need to?”
Read more: https://www.thedailybeast.com/herschel- ... is-accuser
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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BREAKING: Nebraska Senator Ben Sasse resigning
Source: KFAB Omaha
(Washington D.C.) -- Nebraska Senator Ben Sasse is resigning and stepping down from his position.

Sasse is reportedly departing the Senate to pursue an opportunity leading a major institute of higher learning as their next president. No other details have been released at this time. Sasse has served as a U.S. Senator since 2015. More details are expected later on Thursday.

Read more: https://kfab.iheart.com/content/2022-10 ... resigning/
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A majority of GOP nominees -- 299 in all -- deny the 2020 election results
Source: Washington Post
A majority of Republican nominees on the ballot this November for the House, Senate and key statewide offices — 299 in all — have denied or questioned the outcome of the last presidential election, according to a Washington Post analysis.

Candidates who have challenged or refused to accept Joe Biden’s victory are running in every region of the country and in nearly every state. Republican voters in four states nominated election deniers in all federal and statewide races The Post examined.

Although some are running in heavily Democratic areas and are expected to lose, most of the election deniers nominated are likely to win: Of the nearly 300 on the ballot, 174 are running for safely Republican seats. Another 51 will appear on the ballot in tightly contested races.

The implications will be lasting: If Republicans take control of the House, as many political forecasters predict, election deniers would hold enormous sway over the choice of the nation’s next speaker, who in turn could preside over the House in a future contested presidential election. The winners of all the races examined by The Post — those for governor, lieutenant governor, secretary of state, attorney general, Senate and House — will hold some measure of power overseeing American elections.

Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2 ... ions-2022/
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Generic Congressional Ballot:

Republicans 40%
Democrats 40%

.@zogbystrategies
, 1,006 LV, 10/5
https://johnzogbystrategies.com/the-zogby-repo
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Generic Congressional Ballot:

Republicans 47% (+2)
Democrats 45%

.@DataProgress
, 7,380 LV, 9/16-10/3
https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/gcb/d
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New Hampshire Senate:

Hassan (D-inc) 49% (+6)
Bolduc (R) 43%

.@SaintAnselmPoll
, 901 LV, 9/27-28
https://anselm.edu/sites/default/
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Oregon Governor:

Drazan (R) 36% (+2)
Kotek (D) 34%
Johnson (I) 19%

.@EmersonCollege
, 796 LV, 9/30-10/1
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/oregon-2022-re
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Colorado Senate:
Bennet (D-inc) 50% (+9)
O'Dea (R) 41%
Peotter (L) 3%
.
Colorado Governor:
Polis (D-inc) 56% (+17)
Ganahl (R) 39%
Ruskusky (L) 1%

.@DataProgress
, 1,005 LV, 10/3-6
https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/
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Total Early Votes: 650,864 (+95k)
Mail Ballots Requested: 10,685,123 (+90k)
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Johnson (R) 50%
Barnes (D) 49%

Would their policies…?
Barnes: 45% help middle class, 42% hurt middle class
Johnson: 46% hurt middle class, 40% help middle class

Do you like how they handle themselves?
Barnes: 49% yes, 51% no
Johnson: 43% yes, 57% no

Johnson job approval: 45/55 (-10)

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/wisconsin- ... 022-10-09/
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Nevada GOP Secretary of State Candidate Promises to Make Trump President in 2024
by Pema Levy
October 9, 2022

Introduction:
(Mother Jones) At a rally for Nevada Republican candidates on Saturday, Republican nominee for secretary of state Jim Marchant promised that he and his fellow GOP nominees, if elected next month, would reinstall Donald Trump in the White House in 2024.

“We’re gonna fix the whole country and President Trump is gonna be president again,” Marchant promised as Trump stood beside him.

Marchant told rally-goers that he had started a coalition of nominees for secretary of state around the country that believe the 2020 election was stolen and plan to return Trump to the White House in two years. “I established a MAGA America First coalition of secretaries of state candidates around the country,” he told the crowd in Nevada. They will win, he predicted. And if they all win “we take our country back.”
Read more here: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2 ... 24-trump/

caltrek’s comment: Democracy itself is on the ballot this November. Like the fight against terrorism, the need is to win every battle. An outcome that is looking increasingly remote as a possibility.
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Lauren Boebert Might Lose In Colorado. But Don’t Bet On It.
by Abigail Weinberg
October 5, 2022

Introduction:
(Mother Jones) After Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) clinched the Republican nomination for Congress in the state’s right-leaning third district, it seemed like she was a shoo-in for the general election. But recent polling suggests that Boebert’s re-election isn’t as sure as it appears.

A new poll by Keating Research has shown Boebert to have the support of 47 percent of likely voters, to her Democratic opponent’s 45 percent, Axios reports. There’s a catch: The poll was commissioned by Boebert’s challenger, Adam Frisch. Keating Research, a Democratic firm, has a B/C rating from FiveThirtyEight, which places Boebert’s odds of winning at 98 percent.

All polling should be taken with a grain of salt. Polling from Boebert’s opponent? Add some extra sodium.

Still, the Colorado congressional race is worth keeping an eye on. During her reelection campaign, Boebert has repeatedly touted legislation that she voted against, denied that her husband exposed himself to a minor (he pled guilty), and complained that she was “tired of this separation of church and state junk.”

She has also come under investigation in Colorado for her alleged misuse of campaign funds. Voters might be ready for a low-key, anti-“angertainment” Democrat after all.
Read more here: https://www.motherjones.com/mojo-wire/ ... ado-poll/
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caltrek
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Losing Ground, Cortez Masto Defeat in Nevada Could Cost Democrats Senate Majority
by Jessica Corbett
October 12, 2022

Introduction:
(Common Dreams) With less than a month before the midterm elections, recent polling and reporting have heightened fears about the GOP seizing control of the evenly split U.S. Senate—and particularly, whether Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada can hold on to her seat.

Cortez Masto's is one of few key Senate races—along with those in Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—that election watchers largely consider a toss-up. In Nevada, the first-term incumbent senator faces Republican Adam Laxalt, who succeeded her as state attorney general.

Some polls have suggested that Laxalt could be Republicans' "golden ticket" to reclaim the Senate, showing him with slim leads over the chamber's "most vulnerable" Democrat. While the results of a USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll out Wednesday showed Cortez Masto with a 46%-44% lead, that's within the margin of error for the survey, which was conducted last week.

"Both candidates have solidified support within their parties," noted USA TODAY's reporting on the survey. "Cortez Masto is backed by 89% of Democrats, Laxalt by 87% of Republicans. Independents favor Laxalt by 40%-36%. The two sides are matched in intensity; 46% of the backers of each say they are 'extremely' motivated to vote."
Read more here: https://www.commondreams.org/news/2022 ... -majority
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Polling results are starting to come in hot and heavy. A Marquette poll shows Ron Johnson in Wisconsin up 6 points over Democrat Mandela Barnes for the U.S. Senate race in that state. Two new polls show Raphael Warnock in Georgia up 3 points and 7 points over Herschel Walker. In contrast to the article above, a USA Today/Suffolk poll has Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto up 2 points over Adam Laxalt in Nevada.

Not surprisingly, Governor Gavin Newsome and U.S. Senator Alex Padilla hold commanding leads over their respective opponents in California.

In New Hampshire, Democratic Senator Maggie Hassan holds a comfortable 7-point lead over Republican opponent Don Bolduc

Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
Don't mourn, organize.

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As of 10/13/22 for Ada County, Idaho:

41,717 ballots requested (up from 20,275 on this day in 2018)
7,613 ballots returned, for a rate of 18.2% (down from 27% on this day in 2018)


Republicans make up 48.6% of requested ballots, Democrats 26.5%, and Unaffiliated 24.23%
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Warnock (D) 49%
Walker (R) 46%
Someone else 3%
Undecided 1%

Warnock fav: 47/50 (-3)
Walker fav: 35/54 (-19)

https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_GA_ ... a636j5.pdf
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Vance (R) 46% [+2 from last month]
Ryan (D) 45% [+5 from last month]
Someone else 1%
Undecided 9%

Men: Vance 53-40 (6% undecided)
Women: Ryan 49-39 (11% undecided)

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/ohio- ... er-whaley/
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Kelly - 46%
Masters - 41.6%
Victor - 5%
Undecided - 7%

https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/2022- ... enate-race
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