Tropical Weather & Hurricane Season

[Xyls]

Here's my forecast this weekend. I'm not directly in the bullseye but could STILL see hurricane force winds and storm surge.

Fuckin' jeebus. The winds won't be it but this is close to Category 5 hurricane pressure in Canada. Also this may surpass Sandy as the largest hurricane in history. This may even become the first major hurricane to make landfall on Canada. Though likely will just be a strong Category 2.

[weatheriscool]

Biden vows US won't walk away from storm-struck Puerto Rico
Source: AP

By DÁNICA COTO

SAN SALVADOR, Puerto Rico (AP) — President Joe Biden said Thursday the full force of the federal government is ready to help Puerto Rico recover from the devastation of Hurricane Fiona even as Bermuda and Canada’s Atlantic provinces were preparing for a major blast from the Category 4 storm.

Speaking at a briefing with Federal Emergency Management Agency officials in New York, Biden said, “We’re all in this together.”

Biden noted that hundreds of FEMA and other federal officials are already on the ground in Puerto Rico, where Fiona caused an island-wide blackout.

More than 60% of power customers remained without energy on Thursday, and a third of customers were without water — and local officials admitted they could not say when service would be fully restored.

Read more: https://apnews.com/article/floods-storm ... osition_05

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Powerful Hurricane Fiona roaring by Bermuda, then to Canada
Source: AP

By DÁNICA COTO

SAN SALVADOR, Puerto Rico (AP) — Fiona, a Category 4 hurricane, pounded Bermuda with heavy rains and winds early Friday as it swept by the island on a route forecast to have it approaching northeastern Canada late in the day as a still-powerful storm.

Authorities in Bermuda opened shelters and closed schools and offices ahead of Fiona. Premier David Burt sent a tweet urging residents to “take care of yourself and your family. Let’s all remember to check on as well as look out for your seniors, family and neighbors.”

The Canadian Hurricane Centre issued a hurricane watch over extensive coastal expanses of Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island and Newfoundland. The U.S. National Hurricane Center said Fiona should reach the area as a “large and powerful post-tropical cyclone with hurricane-force winds.”

“It’s going to be a storm that everyone remembers when it is all said and done,” said Bob Robichaud, warning preparedness meteorologist for the Canadian Hurricane Centre.

Read more: https://apnews.com/article/storms-senio ... osition_06

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[Xyls]

[caltrek]

Experience the Deadly Heart of Hurricane Fiona with Incredible Saildrone Footage
by Eleanor Higgs
September 23, 2022

Introduction:

(IFL Science) To put it mildly, it’s been a weird hurricane season. Despite predictions that La Niña would cause more frequent storms, the Atlantic has had only six named storms so far compared to 21 storms in 2021 and 2020’s total of 30.

Hurricane Fiona is the first category 4 storm of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. Recently, it has wreaked havoc over Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic, leaving at least eight people dead and many homes destroyed. Fiona is now on a collision course with the east coast of Canada, though she is predicted to be losing some of her ferocity along the way.

Footage released from an uncrewed surface vehicle (USV) called the Saildrone Explorer SD 1078 shows what it’s like to travel in the heart of the hurricane.

The Saildrone Explorer SD 1078 was sent into the middle of Hurricane Fiona, contending with 15 meter (50-foot) waves and wind speeds of 160 kilometers per hour (100 miles per hour). Three other Saildrone USVs also recorded data from the storm before it was upgraded to a Category 4.

SD 1078 is now 315 nautical miles southwest of Bermuda where Hurricane Fiona is expected to travel past. It is one of seven hurricane Saildrones that are deployed in the Atlantic Ocean and the Gulf of Mexico to collect data and offer a completely new perspective on one of the most powerful destructive forces on Earth. The data they collect is vital to improving storm forecasting and helps to reduce the loss of human life by helping coastal communities better prepare for these devastating storm events.

Read more and view video footage here: https://www.iflscience.com/experience- ... age-65460

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Puerto Ricans seething over lack of power days after Fiona
Source: AP

By DÁNICA COTO

SAN JUAN, Puerto Rico (AP) — Half of Puerto Rico is without power more than five days after Hurricane Fiona struck — including an entire town where not a single work crew has arrived.

Many on the U.S. territory are angry and incredulous, and calls are growing for the ouster of the island’s private electricity transmission and distribution company.

Fuel disruptions are worsening the situation, forcing grocery stores, gas stations and other businesses to close and leaving apartment buildings in the dark because there is no diesel for generators.

Many are questioning why it is taking so long to restore power since Fiona was a Category 1 storm that did not affect the entire island, and whose rain — not wind — inflicted the greatest damage.

Read more: https://apnews.com/article/storms-hurri ... osition_05

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Fiona makes landfall, slams Canada's Atlantic coast with severe winds and rain
Source: CNN

CNN — Hurricane Fiona, now referred to as a post-tropical cyclone, has made landfall in Nova Scotia, racing through Canada’s Atlantic seaboard early Saturday in what could be a “landmark” weather event for the country. An unofficial barometric pressure of 931.6 mb was recorded at Hart Island, which would make Fiona the lowest pressure land-falling storm on record in Canada, according to the Canadian Hurricane Centre. Wind observations on Beaver Island in eastern Nova Scotia were recorded at 94 mph (152 km/h).

Parts of Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island started to feel the storm’s arrival Saturday morning as winds and rains extending far from the storm’s center knocked out utilities. More than 376,000 customers across Nova Scotia have lost power so far, according to the region’s power outage center. Residents in New Brunswick, southern Quebec, and Newfoundland and Labrador additionally face severe weather as Fiona tracks north at more than 40 mph (65 km/h) following its landfall between Canso and Guysborough in eastern Nova Scotia.

Fiona is expected to pass through Cape Breton Island on Saturday morning and reach the southeastern Labrador Sea by evening. “The storm is producing severe winds and very heavy rainfall,” the Canadian Hurricane Centre said before landfall. “Wide spread gusts of 80-110 km/h (50-68 mph) have been so far reported over Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island and Iles-de-la-Madeleine, with a peak gust to 144km/h (90 mph) over Beaver Island, Nova Scotia.”

Fiona weakened slightly on Friday to a Category 2 storm yet is still expected to bring damaging storm surges, heavy rain and severe wind. Fiona had been a Category 4 storm early Wednesday over the Atlantic after passing the Turks and Caicos and remained so until Friday afternoon.

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/24/weather/ ... index.html

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Powerful typhoon hits north Philippines, thousands evacuated
Source: AP

By JIM GOMEZ

MANILA, Philippines (AP) — A powerful typhoon slammed into the northeastern Philippines on Sunday and was barreling across the main Luzon island toward the capital in a densely populated path where thousands have been evacuated to safety.

Typhoon Noru hit the coastal town of Burdeos on Polillo Island in Quezon province shortly before nightfall.

With sustained winds of 195 kilometers (121 miles per hour) and gusts of up to 240 kph (149 mph), it was expected to weaken slightly when it hits the Sierra Madre mountain range but will remain dangerously ferocious, forecasters said.

“The typhoon is strong and we live by the sea,” said Marilen Yubatan, who left her shanty in Manila with her two young daughters. “If we fall into the water, I don’t know where I will end up with my children.”

Read more: https://apnews.com/article/storms-weath ... m=HomePage

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Tropical Storm Ian strengthens as it heads to Cuba, Florida
September 25, 2022

Introduction:

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (AP via Courthouse News) — Authorities and residents in Florida were keeping a cautious eye on Tropical Storm Ian as it rumbled ominously through the Caribbean on Sunday, likely to become a major hurricane on its path toward the state.

Gov. Ron DeSantis has declared a state of emergency throughout Florida and urged residents to prepare for the storm to lash large swaths of the state with heavy rains, high winds and rising seas.

Forecasters are still unsure of exactly where Ian could make landfall, with current models plotting it toward Florida's west coast or panhandle regions, he said.

"We're going to keep monitoring the track of this storm. But it really is important to stress the degree of uncertainty that still exists," DeSantis said at a news conference Sunday, cautioning that "even if you're not necessarily right in the eye of the path of the storm, there's going to be pretty broad impacts throughout the state."

The National Hurricane Center said Ian is expected to become a hurricane on Monday and reach major hurricane strength Tuesday. Flash and urban flooding is possible in the Florida Keys and Florida peninsula through midweek, and then heavy rainfall was possible for north Florida, the Florida panhandle and the southeast United States later this week.

Read more here: https://www.courthousenews.com/tropica ... -florida/

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Hurricane Ian nears Cuba on path to strike Florida as Cat 4
Source: AP

HAVANA (AP) — Hurricane Ian was growing stronger as it approached the western tip of Cuba on Monday, on a track to hit the west coast of Florida as a major hurricane as early as Wednesday. Ian was forecast to hit Cuba as a major hurricane and then become an even stronger Category 4 with top winds of 140 miles (225 kilometers) over warm Gulf of Mexico waters before striking Florida along a stretch of coast including the Tampa Bay area.

“Please treat this storm seriously. It’s the real deal. This is not a drill,” Hillsborough County Emergency Management Director Timothy Dudley said at a Monday news conference on storm preparations in Tampa. Authorities in Cuba suspended classes in Pinar del Rio province and planned evacuations Monday as Ian gained strength on approach to Grand Cayman and the Cuban provinces of Isla de Juventud, Pinar del Rio and Artemisa. Cuba also was shutting down its train system ahead of the worst weather.

“Cuba is expecting extreme hurricane force winds, also life threatening storm surge and heavy rainfall,” U.S. National Hurricane Center senior specialist Daniel Brown told The Associated Press early Monday. At 11 a.m. EDT on Monday, Ian was moving northwest at 13 mph (20 kph), about 240 miles (385 kilometers) southeast of the western tip of Cuba, with top sustained winds increasing to 80 mph (130 kph).

As the hurricane approached the Cayman Islands, members of the government and opposition were working together “to ensure that our people are made as safe as possible -- the supplies, plywood, in some cases sandbags, are distributed so that they can safely weather this storm,” Premier Wayne Panton said in a video posted Sunday. “We must prepare for the worst and absolutely pray and hope for the best.”

Read more: https://apnews.com/article/storms-hurri ... cfd906755e

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'It is surreal': Canada's Atlantic coast residents describe devastation as Fiona wipes away homes an
Source: CNN

'It is surreal': Canada's Atlantic coast residents describe devastation as Fiona wipes away homes and knocks out power

(CNN)Fiona ripped through Canada's eastern seaboard at hurricane strength after making landfall in Nova Scotia on Saturday, slamming the area with fierce winds and storm surge, sapping power for hundreds of thousands and washing away or collapsing some coastal homes.

Fiona, now a post-tropical cyclone, continued to slowly weaken Saturday evening and into the night as it moved away from the coastal town of Channel-Port aux Basques, in Newfoundland and Labrador, where the storm left a trail of devastation. Some coastal homes in the area collapsed and a few toppled structures fell into the sea or were surrounded by floodwater, pictures sent from the province Saturday morning showed.
In Channel-Port aux Basques, houses were washed away, Mayor Brian Button said in a Facebook video Saturday. Huge waves reaching the eastern shores of Nova Scotia and southwestern Newfoundland caused "severe coastal flooding" at the town, the Canadian Hurricane Centre said Saturday night.

Authorities in the province declared a state of emergency for the town amid "multiple electrical fires, residential flooding and washouts" Saturday morning.

René Roy, editor-in-chief of Wreckhouse Press, a local news publication, described a scene of carnage in the storm: uprooted trees, at least eight nearby homes vanished in the wake of a violent storm surge, cabins floating by, a boat carried by floodwaters into the middle of a local playground. /snip

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/24/weather/ ... T1saYRNJ1s

[weatheriscool]

Hurricane Ian strengthens to Category 2 storm
Source: CNN

Hurricane Ian keeps getting stronger as it barrels toward Florida, prompting urgent evacuations and threatening dangerous storm surges in places not used to getting hit directly by a hurricane.

Ian is now a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson wind scale, according to a 5 p.m. ET update from the Miami-based National Hurricane Center. The eye of the storm is located around 150 miles southeast of the western tip of Cuba and Ian is moving north-northwest near 13 mph, the center said.

Florida could start feeling Ian’s wrath as early as Tuesday, with hurricane conditions potentially hitting the state Wednesday.

The hurricane center’s forecast for Ian “has shown an unprecedented rate of strengthening from a tropical storm to powerful hurricane,” CNN meteorologist Brandon Miller said.

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/26/us/tropi ... index.html

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118
WTNT64 KNHC 270631
TCUAT4

Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
230 AM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022

...IAN BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE...
...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER WESTERN CUBA SOON...

Earlier aircraft and more recent satellite data indicate that Ian
has continued to strengthen. The maximum winds are now estimated to
be 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts.

SUMMARY OF 230 AM EDT...0630 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 83.6W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF THE CITY OF PINAR DEL RIO CUBA
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM E OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Latto/Brown

[Xyls]

So Ian is just under Category 5 strength. This would be very unprecedented to have ANOTHER Category 5 landfall so recently after the last. On average the US gets 1 Category 5 landfall every 30 years. Last Cat 5 was in 2018...

[raklian]

So Ian is just under Category 5 strength. This would be very unprecedented to have ANOTHER Category 5 landfall so recently after the last. On average the US gets 1 Category 5 landfall every 30 years. Last Cat 5 was in 2018...

There is a possibility of a second Katrina event around the Fort Myers area.

[Xyls]

Fox News trying to get people killed yet again...

Tucker Carlson's Latest Bizarre Conspiracy Theory: Hurricanes

https://www.yahoo.com/news/tucker-carls ... 55488.html

Tucker Carlson shared his skepticism about hurricanes on Tuesday as Hurricane Ian is expected to make its way toward Florida this week.

The Fox News host teased an upcoming segment about Hurricane Ian by implying hurricanes are a “scam.”

[raklian]