Edit:
It’s the sacred duty of every Catholic to protect the vulnerable and care for others during times of plague, but that conflicts with capitalism so it’s “politicizing” now for people for whom Catholicism is an aesthetic preference.
It’s the sacred duty of every Catholic to protect the vulnerable and care for others during times of plague, but that conflicts with capitalism so it’s “politicizing” now for people for whom Catholicism is an aesthetic preference.
During the 2021 Delta wave:
- One-day record for added cases peaked on Sep-11-2021, with 26,251 cases reported in one day
- Seven-day average in cases/day peaked on Sep-12-2021, with 20,911 cases/day over a seven-day average
- Active cases peaked on Sep-17-2021, with 188,108 active cases
- ICU utilization peaked on Sep-23-2021: 79% of 4,500 ICU beds, or an estimated 3,555 ICU beds in use
From this, we can draw a rough relationship:
- a 12 day lag-time between single-day case reports, and ICU utilization
- an 11 day lag-time between seven-day average case reports, and ICU utilization
- a 6 day lag-time between active cases, and ICU utilization
Taking our current situation:
- As of Jan-08-2022, there was a single-day case report of 26,211, similar to the 26,251 from Sep-11-2021 (and succeeding days have reported even higher counts).
These numbers may reflect back into ICU utilization after 12 days: Jan-20-2022
- As of Jan-10-2022, the seven-day average case-load was 20,387 cases/day, similar to the 20,911 cases/day from Sep-12-2021 (and the average is still climbing).
These numbers may reflect back into ICU utilization after 11 days: Jan-21-2022
- As of Jan-11-2022, active cases are now at 181,286. This is somewhat short of the 188,108 active cases from Sep-17-2021, but close enough (and the succeeding days should be even higher).
These numbers may reflect back into ICU utilization after six days: Jan-17-2022
That gives us our critical period: Jan-17 to Jan-22-2022.
ICU utilization as of today, Jan-11-2022, is 41% out of 3,400 beds, or an estimated 1,394 beds in use.
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I want to commit this in writing because if Omicron really is "milder", then we shouldn't see ICU utilization to hit the same levels as it did during Delta, for a roughly equivalent number of cases.
If I'm wrong, then I'm wrong, and I certainly hope I am, but I want to know that all those people saying that it's Not That Bad did not know what they were talking about by declaring mild victory over Omicron in the first week of January.

(Alternet) A Republican governor is facing an uphill health battle after testing positive for COVID-19. On Tuesday, January 11, West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice (R) released a statement canceling the state's legislative address after receiving test results that confirm he'd contracted the virus.
The governor awoke on Tuesday morning with multiple symptoms of illness including fever, headache cough, and congestion, according to the statement. Although the rapid test delivered negative results, the PCR test returned positive. In a matter of hours, he also began suffering from an elevated heart rate and heightened blood pressure in addition to a higher fever, per CNN.
"While I was surprised that my test results came back positive, I'm thankful to the Lord above that I've been vaccinated, I've been boosted, and that I have an incredible support system, especially my loving family," Justice said.
Justice confirmed in the statement that he has received a dose of monoclonal antibody treatment.
Age is still a huge risc factor. He is 70.Dammit, even people who do things right are still getting sick.
My wife had long Covid and killed herself. We must help others who are suffering
Read more: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/white ... li=BBnbfcL(Reuters) - The Biden administration on Wednesday announced a new set of measures to keep classes open, including doubling COVID-19 testing capacity in schools with 10 million more tests, as the Omicron variant spreads rapidly through the United States.
The United States reported 1.35 million new coronavirus infections on Monday, shattering the global record for daily cases in any one country. Omicron is now estimated to account for 98.3% of total new cases circulating in the country, the Centers for Disease Control & Prevention (CDC) says.
The gigantic wave of infections has disrupted plans for students and teachers to return to school and for workers to go back to the office.
In response, the number of COVID-19 tests available to schools will be increased by 10 million per month, the White House said in a statement, saying this will help schools more than double the volume of testing compared to November 2021.
