2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

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MI (Glengariff-WDIV/Detroit News): Harris +3
https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/ ... 552929007/

Harris 47
Trump 44

600 LV, Oct 1-4

Harris' advantage was within the margin of error of plus or minus 4 points. However, the numbers were significant because they represented the largest lead that Democratic President Joe Biden, who dropped his reelection bid on July 21, or Harris has had over Trump in four surveys commissioned this year by The News and WDIV-TV.

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[firestar464]

omg new state "north coraline"

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lol'ed

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PA update - 10/8

Total ballots requested: 1,560,489
Dems 953,839 (61.1%)
Reps 427,489 (27.4%)
Other 179,161 (11.5%)

Total ballots returned: 217,366
Dems 155,931 (71.7%)
Reps 43,793 (20.1%)
Other 17,642 (8.1%)

Dem return rate 16.3%
Rep return rate 10.2%


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[caltrek]

Silicon Valley's Political Muscles
by Felix Salmon
October 8, 2024

Introduction:

(Axios) Silicon Valley is increasingly determining who gets elected and who doesn't.

Why it matters: While Big Tech companies learned the value of lobbying in the wake of the Microsoft antitrust trial in the 1990s, it's only much more recently that they've started trying to influence the outcome of elections.

Driving the news: The New Yorker's Charles Duhigg this week delivered a 9,000-word essay on exactly what has changed and how.

Follow the money: The crypto industry alone, says Duhigg, is "responsible for almost half of all corporate donations to PACs in the 2024 election cycle" — as Axios reported in August — and is seeking "to prove that its leaders are capable of political savagery in order to protect their interests."

• Fairshake, the biggest crypto PAC, has almost no interest in "explaining how crypto works, or anything like that," one former Coinbase employee told Duhigg. "It's about hitting politicians where they are most sensitive—reelection."

Read more here: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/08/silic ... nations

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Can Montana’s ‘Last Rural Democrat’ Survive Another Election?
by Lee Banville
October 8, 2024

Introduction:

(The Conversation) Jon Tester has never had it easy.

The three-term Democratic senator from Montana has scored more than 50% of the vote only once in his three runs for the U.S. Senate, attracting 50.3% of the vote in 2018 against state auditor and future U.S. Rep. Matt Rosendale.

This year, Tester’s always-perilous path to reelection seems narrower and more harrowing than ever before. And the outcome could determine whether the Senate remains in Democratic control or flips to the Republicans.

Current polls and political prognosticators are even starting to turn on the moderate from the farming community of Big Sandy with the flattop haircut. FiveThirtyEight has Tester’s opponent, former Navy SEAL and businessman Tim Sheehy, up four percentage points, and the venerable Cook Political Report has gone so far as to say the race “leans Republican.”

For Montana State University political scientist Jessi Bennion, this election may be the end of an era in rural America.

Read more here: https://theconversation.com/can-montan ... on-240647

caltrek’s comment: In the worst sort of way, Democrats need to learn how to prevail in a rural environment. They should look toward leftist populism and environmentalism for some clues on how to do that. Currently, they seem content with obtaining a minority share of campaign contributions from corporate agriculture and thus passing up on the opportunity to appeal to owners of small farms, farm workers, and communities dependent upon their local agricultural industry. Then said Democrats bellyache about how unfair is the electoral college system and the U.S. Senate. If they performed better in rural states, that would not be such an issue.

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It Won’t Just be Haitians Who Suffer from Anti-immigration Lies
by Chisom Okorafor
October 8, 2024

Introduction:

(Other Words) For weeks now, right-wing pundits and politicians have spread baseless claims about Haitian immigrants.

These lies have caused immense fear among the community, leading to bomb threats, harassment, and vandalism. The Haitian community in Springfield, Ohio — the first but not the last to be targeted — reported being “scared for their lives”.

I’m not Haitian. I’m an American-born citizen who’s never set foot in Ohio. But as the daughter of a Black immigrant family, these lies worry me, too.

I know personally how easily identifiable we are. Even though my Nigerian parents were both naturalized over 20 years ago, they still have strong accents. We have distinctive names. To someone who was radicalized by the hateful rhetoric flying around, my family and I are obvious targets.

Just like how Donald Trump’s earlier comments targeting Mexican or Chinese people spawned a wave of hate against all Latin Americans, Asians, or others thought to “look” Mexican or Chinese, the baseless accusations about Haitians will rebound to all Black immigrants — and the Black community as a whole.

Read more here: https://otherwords.org/it-wont-just-be ... nt-lies/

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This Union Leader Is the Kind of Voter Who Could Swing the Presidential Race
by Kalena Tomhave
October 7, 2024

Introduction:

(Capital and Main) Ryan Sanders is the kind of voter whose support may ultimately decide the presidential race. A resident of Erie County in Pennsylvania, Sanders describes himself as “middle of the road”: He leans conservative, but he also said he tends to oscillate between either side of the center. In his early 40s, he’s young, like many swing voters. And above all, he said he wants a presidential candidate who is “honest” — a trait consistently prized by those who remain undecided.

There’s at least one thing that separates Sanders from other swing voters, though — a proud member of Sheet Metal Workers Local 12, he’s president of the Erie-Crawford Central Labor Council (CLC), the local arm of the AFL-CIO.

Election analysts say Vice President Kamala Harris’ easiest path to victory may run through Pennsylvania, with its critical 19 electoral votes. The state has 750,000 union members — more than enough to swing the state, which Trump won by fewer than 50,000 votes in 2016. Unions are mobilizing members and their households to turn out, believing their votes will be decisive. As union members have drifted away from overwhelmingly supporting Democrats, voters like Sanders represent a key segment of the working-class voters the Harris campaign is counting on swaying.

Unions still remain strongly tied to the Democratic Party, and in their heyday, Sanders’ union ties may have predicted his vote. But declining membership over the past few decades has lessened the influence of union membership in public life. The U.S. partisan divide has crept into unions, and many voters no longer think their union identities affect their votes at all.

“There are a significant number of swing union members,” especially in Pennsylvania, said Steve Rosenthal, president of The Organizing Group, which consults with unions. He notes that according to 2020 exit polling, roughly 49% of union households in Pennsylvania voted for Joe Biden over Donald Trump, compared to 62% in Michigan and 59% in Wisconsin, also battleground states with deep union traditions.

Read more here: https://capitalandmain.com/this-union- ... tial-race

[firestar464]

Well Trump is the more dishonest of the two. It's not that hard bruhhhh

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