Ukraine War Watch Thread

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caltrek
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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ibm9000 wrote: Sat Jun 03, 2023 3:56 pm There is a "counteroffensive" if there is an offensive. When was the last time we had anything bigger than "limited attacks"? (Attack/counterattack not offensive/defensive war.
Australia and Oceania...
Unless you use the war part. (This one is just another war, we shouldn't be surprised about the things that happen in a war; any war).
We shall have lost something as a species if we are neither surprised or disgusted by "the things that happen in a war."

The best outcome in any conflict is that it is resolved peacefully. The next best is if war fare is confined to military contestants. The worst is when a deliberate tactic of terrorizing a civilian population is employed. To fail to distinguish between the two latter outcomes is an exercise in false equivalency.
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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Reading avoid "surprises".

(Human) History failed. (To distinguish, "Think big Henry").
Last edited by ibm9000 on Sun Jun 04, 2023 6:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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ibm9000 wrote: Sun Jun 04, 2023 5:44 pm Reading avoid "surprises".

(Human) History fail. (To distinguish, "Think big Henry").
Well, if you want to respond by just being totally incoherent. I suppose it would help if I understood to what "big Henry" is alluding.
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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Posted before: Nixon to Kissinger... about killing civilians. (But they were not white).
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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...in a very coherent conversation ...recorded in the White House.
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ibm9000 wrote: Sun Jun 04, 2023 6:06 pm Posted before: Nixon to Kissinger... about killing civilians. (But they were not white).
Another what-about-ism going back 50 years + or - that has little or nothing to do with the situation in the Ukraine?
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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...unless you remember that it started with the war part.
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ibm9000 wrote: ↑Sun Jun 04, 2023 11:06 am
Posted before: Nixon to Kissinger... about killing civilians. (But they were not white).
caltrek: Another what-about-ism going back 50 years + or - that has little or nothing to do with the situation in the Ukraine?
ibm9000 wrote: Sun Jun 04, 2023 7:24 pm ...unless you remember that it started with the war part.
I don't see how that makes it any less of a what-about-ism. As I wrote earlier:
The best outcome in any conflict is that it is resolved peacefully. The next best is if war fare is confined to military contestants. The worst is when a deliberate tactic of terrorizing a civilian population is employed. To fail to distinguish between the two latter outcomes is an exercise in false equivalency.
Kissinger probably should have been tried as a war criminal. Still, what has that got to do with the war in the Ukraine?

If you look in the Modern History thread, you might notice that on May 25, 2023, I posted an article concerning Kissinger. If you want to write about Kissinger, you should do so by replying to that post. If you have anything of relevance to this thread that also concerns Kissinger, than you need to be more explicit about what the connection is as you see it. Something more than "well there was a war in Vietnam and now there is a war in the Ukraine."

Writing more as a content provider, my argument is that Kissinger's war crimes should not be used as an excuse for Putin's war crimes.
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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To return to the actual war in the Ukraine (and its possible spread into Russia):

Ukraine Military Situation Report
by Can Kasapoğlu
June 4, 2023

Introduction:
(Eurasia Review)1. Iranian Loitering Munitions Threaten Ukraine

The Russian military has intensified its drone and missile salvos, hitting Ukrainian population centers continuously. Recent weeks have seen a dramatic increase in strikes from Iran-manufactured Shahed-131 and Shahed-136 loitering munitions. On May 30, 29 Shahed-131 and Shahed-136 drones targeted Ukraine. During the night of May 28, the Russian military unleashed 35 Shahed-136 drones, along with 40 cruise missiles, while May 26 witnessed 23 Shahed-131 or Shahed-136 striking Ukrainian targets.

The 87 Shahed loitering munitions launched by Russian combat formations within the latest four-day period mark one of the most intense barrages of the conflict thus far. Ukrainian air defenses managed to intercept a large proportion of these. Nonetheless, three dangerous developments bode ill for Kyiv.
First, the Iranian Shahed-131 and Shahed-136 baselines, renamed Geran-1 and Geran-2 by the Russian defense industry, have been receiving upgrades that make them more dangerous. These assets now have more lethal warheads and more powerful engines. They may soon see even further upgrades and modifications, especially regarding sensors and command-control architecture.

Second, the current operational tempo suggests that Iran has been able to supply Russia with a large quantity of loitering munitions. Iran and Russia will also soon establish a joint drone production plant inside Russia, so Putin’s war machine will have no shortage of these weapons systems. Worse, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps can start sending more advanced drones and even ballistic missiles to the Russian military anytime.

Third, Russia is improving its ability to overwhelm Ukraine’s air defenses. By integrating drones into mixed strike packages alongside cruise and ballistic missiles, Russia can use joint missile and drone warfare efforts to launch systematic saturation attacks, the nightmare scenario for any modern air defense system.


The article also discusses drones striking in Moscow, military actions in the frontier towns of Russia’s Belgorod Oblast, and the training of Ukrainian pilots to fly F-16s.

Read more here: https://www.eurasiareview.com/04062023 ... lysis-2/
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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The best possibly outcome is...
...that it never happened, but History disagrees. This is just another war, it all happened before, it will happen again; I am not surprised.
I would say that the notion of targeting civilians in a war has something to do with this war. (Now you can argue... deliberately... only once... yes, but... or whatever else...). All the notions about this one being different are yours. The "excuse" is all yours.

...and you keep dragging it on ...and I kindly follow.
For me, this is just another war; for you, it seems, this war is completely different and nothing in Human History has anything to do with this one and cannot be related to this one.
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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ibm9000 wrote: Sun Jun 04, 2023 9:17 pm
The best possibly outcome is...
...that it never happened, but History disagrees. This is just another war, it all happened before, it will happen again; I am not surprised.
I would say that the notion of targeting civilians in a war has something to do with this war. (Now you can argue... deliberately... only once... yes, but... or whatever else...). All the notions about this one being different are yours. The "excuse" is all yours.

...and you keep dragging it on ...and I kindly follow.
For me, this is just another war; for you, it seems, this war is completely different and nothing in Human History has anything to do with this one and cannot be related to this one.
No, history does not disagree. The concept and implementation of total war did not occur until World War I (some would go back to the U.S. Civil War). Prior to that, warfare was very often confined to military clashing with military, with civilians merely expected to follow the orders of the winning side. There were exceptions where an aggressive army might have worked itself up into a genocidal rage. Still, they were just that, exceptions and not the general rule.

Moreover, in World War II, precedents were established for certain types of conduct being consider as war crimes. That concept also was subsequently applied to the behavior of many leaders and warriors. Meaning that it is now fair game to consider whether or not Putin and some of his cronies have engaged in war crimes. Yes, and Ukrainian leaders as well if instances warrant such a consideration.

Every war occurs at a unique point in the space time continuum. Meaning that every war occurs at a certain point of technological development and in the context of immediately preceding international agreements that may have been in place. Every war also involves a unique set conflicting leaders and in the backdrop of a unique set of historical circumstances. False equivalencies are just the symptom of a lazy mind, and should be condemned as such. Ditto tedious what-about-isms. "Just another war" is not analysis, it is fatalism.

Sure, that is how it seems to me. Again, that brings us to the point of agreeing to disagree.
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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Russian internal meltdown is looming...

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...incendiary shells
Where ?
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...agreeing to disagree.
Wise words.
"Total war", from what hat did you get that concept? I did use "war".

...military clashing with military, with civilians merely expected to
You are kidding, right?

How do you think the Greek cities fought?, what do you think was happening to the citizens of a fallen city?, not to mention the slaves or the barbarians. How was Rome fighting?, the Mexica?

About the Christian way of killing (only applied to Christians killing Christians, of course), during the Middle Ages the Church tried to "impose" some rules... How well do you think it went?, do you think the Cathars were the only exception?

The 30 Years War?, the devastation it brought to Europe? Again, who cares about the rest of the planet?

Just wars, maybe History disagrees with you... after all.
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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Yep, the Russians really did blow it up.

I suppose the Russians aren't expecting to keep Crimea since the dam complex maintains the reservoir from which fresh water gets channeled into the peninsula.

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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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Ukraine's military says...
Let's give it a day at least... in case it's another Patriot falling down.
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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ibm9000 wrote: Mon Jun 05, 2023 2:45 pm
...
"Total war", from what hat did you get that concept?
Well, here is one example where that concept is discussed:

https://www.khanacademy.org/humanities/ ... ar-beta
...military clashing with military, with civilians merely expected to
You are kidding, right?

How do you think the Greek cities fought?, what do you think was happening to the citizens of a fallen city?, not to mention the slaves or the barbarians. How was Rome fighting?, the Mexica?

About the Christian way of killing (only applied to Christians killing Christians, of course), during the Middle Ages the Church tried to "impose" some rules... How well do you think it went?, do you think the Cathars were the only exception?

The 30 Years War?, the devastation it brought to Europe? Again, who cares about the rest of the planet?

Just wars, maybe History disagrees with you... after all.
You left off the ending as to what civilians were "expected to do." You then pose questions which can be answered in the context of those expectations. Sure, an outcome of any particular war might have involved being subject to slavery. By modern standards slavery is repugnant. Do you want to bring back slavery as a normalized institution?

Paying of tribute was another possible outcome. Today, we do pay taxes. In part that is still a matter of paying tribute to the winning side, and in part that can be seen as providing for the mutual defense. In the real world, that might become entangled, but as conceptual categories, I would think that they are clear enough.

So, history even prior to the twentieth century did involve efforts to "impose" rules by your own admission.

There are often those that violate any given rule that is developed. In fact, the origins of any rule come from a recognition of the need to regulate bad conduct. We don't conclude that the fact that some bad conduct continues means that we should therefore not promulgate such rules. At least, only anarchists might make such arguments. Even some anarchists can understand a moral argument against certain actions conceptually discussed as war crimes.

Your approach of false equivalencies and continued what-about-isms seem designed to eliminate or distract from an analysis as to whether war crimes have even occurred. A distraction that tyrants like Putin love to see.

In the sixties and seventies the assertion was made concerning social and environmental ills that if you are not a part of the solution then you are part of the problem. Continual distractions from the question of war crimes that may have been committed in the Ukraine is part of the problem. Do you really want to continue to go there?

Please remember to relate any response that you may give to the situation in the Ukraine.
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