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How many humanoid robots by 2030? 2040? 2050? 2060
Posted: Fri Jun 19, 2026 11:32 pm
by weatheriscool
How many humanoid robots by 2030? 2040? 2050
Based on what I am seeing I'll guess worldwide
-2030 105 thousand
-2040 1.5 million
-2050 6.5 million
-2060 15.5 million
Do you think it'll be under or over these numbers?
Re: How many humanoid robots by 2030? 2040? 2050? 2060
Posted: Sat Jun 20, 2026 3:46 pm
by wjfox
I think it'll be a few hundred thousand by 2030, not just 100K.
These will scale exponentially in the 2030s, so I'd expect tens of millions by 2040. Perhaps as many as 100 million.
The S-curve of adoption will probably have started to level off by around 2050. However, I'd still expect around a billion by then, and probably something like 2 or 3 billion by 2060.
15 million by 2060 seems like a massive underestimate. China alone will be making insane numbers of them. Many other countries will need androids to sustain their economies and fix demographic imbalances, etc.