Re: Your 2024 Predictions thread
Posted: Sun Dec 17, 2023 12:56 am
Futurism wise AGI is basically the only thing I care about I think by now it is very logical to expect it and even singularity type communities will not be seen as mentally insane by the general public. It's the only thing I really care about as it's very likely that ether we will all be screwed or it will lead to us loving our lives. I don't think the odds of some kind of middle ground are high.
I don't want to put pressure on him or annoy him but Yuli Ban has basically been right with all of his AI related predictions. He has flagged that he expects AGI in 2024 likewise David Shapiro another very smart individual who is one of the big if not the biggest singularity youtubers also expects AGI in 2024.
This is incredibly interesting to say the least and I logically feel like I should agree.
Emotionally I don't want to though, I don't want to get my hopes up and it might make sense to assume that something will go wrong/be harder than expected.
For some time I have been following this % based countdown to AGI https://lifearchitect.ai/agi/
In October it was expected to reach about 73% complete by the start of 2025 but recent breakthroughs mean it is already at 64% and bucking the trend by 5ish months.
I'm going to view 73% before 2025 as enough to not feel annoyed.
80% to feel good and any more than that even better.
Regarding my personal life I have basically given up and I guess reaffirming to myself now my main goal should be surviving until the singularity and just trying to enjoy a very basic life. I have very serious issues stemming from my biology that I can't change.
I have burned through about 10K Aud since leaving my job about 7 months ago and have about 22K left.
I think the logical thing to do is get back into work and survive as long as I can maybe working part time. I want to have enough money so that when AGI is created for real I can "retire" whist waiting for changes to start happening. I understand this process in itself will probably take a few years.
Of late I have been reading and walking a lot I think getting through a large list of books is something that will naturally occur for me next year.
I don't want to put pressure on him or annoy him but Yuli Ban has basically been right with all of his AI related predictions. He has flagged that he expects AGI in 2024 likewise David Shapiro another very smart individual who is one of the big if not the biggest singularity youtubers also expects AGI in 2024.
This is incredibly interesting to say the least and I logically feel like I should agree.
Emotionally I don't want to though, I don't want to get my hopes up and it might make sense to assume that something will go wrong/be harder than expected.
For some time I have been following this % based countdown to AGI https://lifearchitect.ai/agi/
In October it was expected to reach about 73% complete by the start of 2025 but recent breakthroughs mean it is already at 64% and bucking the trend by 5ish months.
I'm going to view 73% before 2025 as enough to not feel annoyed.
80% to feel good and any more than that even better.
Regarding my personal life I have basically given up and I guess reaffirming to myself now my main goal should be surviving until the singularity and just trying to enjoy a very basic life. I have very serious issues stemming from my biology that I can't change.
I have burned through about 10K Aud since leaving my job about 7 months ago and have about 22K left.
I think the logical thing to do is get back into work and survive as long as I can maybe working part time. I want to have enough money so that when AGI is created for real I can "retire" whist waiting for changes to start happening. I understand this process in itself will probably take a few years.
Of late I have been reading and walking a lot I think getting through a large list of books is something that will naturally occur for me next year.