Society & Demographics News and Discussions

User avatar
caltrek
Posts: 6509
Joined: Mon May 17, 2021 1:17 pm

Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by caltrek »

To me, from an environmentalist perspective, a shrinking population is a good thing. Less negative pressure on the environment because there are fewer people around creating negative effects.

Even from an economic perspective, accumulated wealth being split among fewer people means more net wealth per person. Of course, that leaves aside issues concerning the concentration of wealth.

Of course, such demographic changes do involve other negative issues. An excess of retirement age individuals in relation to working age population can have obvious problems. This can be offset by an increase in productivity due to mechanization and robotization, but there is no guarantee as to how fortuitous the timing of such productivity gains may be.
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
weatheriscool
Posts: 12958
Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm

Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by weatheriscool »

Caltrek. I agree with you...Most of the pressure is in Africa and parts of Asia of course and that part of the world could use some serious birth control within my opinion.

We'd be better off with capping the world population at 2-3 billion.
User avatar
caltrek
Posts: 6509
Joined: Mon May 17, 2021 1:17 pm

Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by caltrek »

Christians Could Become a Minority in The U.S. Within Decades
by Tom Hale
September 15, 2022

Introduction:
(IFL Science) If current trends continue, Christians could soon become a minority in the US within just a few decades, according to a new report. Social trends like this are notoriously hard to predict, but it's evident that the number of people following Christianity in the US has been slipping since the 1970s – and little seems to be stopping the demise.

In 1972, up to 90 percent of Americans identified as Christian. By 2020, that number had slipped to about 64 percent, while around 30 percent reported being religiously unaffiliated and all other religions – including Judaism, Islam, Hinduism, and Buddhism – accounted for just 6 percent of the population.

A new report by Pew Research has looked to see how this trend might continue under a few different scenarios. There are numerous factors that will influence this future, such as birth rates and migration patterns, but one of the most important is the rates of “religious switching” whereby people no longer identify with the religion they grew up with.

Under the first scenario, where no one in the US changes their religion after 2020, Christianity could claw onto a majority of 54 percent of the population by 2070. Meanwhile, the religiously unaffiliated would remain a substantial minority at 34 percent.

If religious switching among young Americans continued at current rates, Christians would slip below 50 percent of the population by 2060, accounting for 46 percent of the population in 2070. They would still be the largest religious group in the US, however.
Read more here: https://www.iflscience.com/christians- ... des-65346

caltrek’s comment: This could account for paranoia among White Christians regarding replacement theory. One possible answer might be to allow more immigration from highly Christian Latin American countries. From a reactionary White Christian’s perspective this may not be desirable because such persons would not be White, and would tend to be Catholic. Catholics, for many Protestants and independent based Christians, can be seen as almost as bad or worse than atheists.
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
Tadasuke
Posts: 510
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2021 3:15 pm
Location: Europe

Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by Tadasuke »

Image
Image
Image
Global economy doubles in product every 15-20 years. Computer performance at a constant price doubles nowadays every 4 years on average. Livestock-as-food will globally stop being a thing by ~2050 (precision fermentation and more). Human stupidity, pride and depravity are the biggest problems of our world.
User avatar
wjfox
Site Admin
Posts: 8732
Joined: Sat May 15, 2021 6:09 pm
Location: London, UK
Contact:

Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by wjfox »

User avatar
caltrek
Posts: 6509
Joined: Mon May 17, 2021 1:17 pm

Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by caltrek »

The Human Race at Eight Billion
by Stef W. Kight and Tory Lysik
November 15, 2022

Introduction:
(Axios) Eight billion humans are living on planet Earth — a huge milestone officially projected for and being recognized Tuesday by the U.N.
Why it matters: People are living longer, with generally better access to health care, food, clean water and sanitation than in past generations. A smaller share of humans live in extreme poverty.

• There are still challenges — ongoing ramifications from the pandemic, a record number of forcibly displaced people and worsening climate change.

“It is a momentous milestone for humanity," Natalia Kanem, executive director of the U.N. Population Fund (UNFPA), told reporters last month.

• "Some express concerns that our world is overpopulated with far too many people and insufficient resources to sustain their lives. I am here to say clearly, that the sheer number of human lives is not a cause for fear."
Read more here: https://www.axios.com/2022/11/14/globa ... humans-un
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
User avatar
Time_Traveller
Posts: 2095
Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 4:49 pm
Location: Clermont, Indiana, USA, October 7th 2019 B.C.E

Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by Time_Traveller »

Taiwan military has a fertility problem: As China fears grow, its recruitment pool shrinks
Updated 2:50 AM EST, Sat December 17, 2022

Taipei, Taiwan(CNN) Taiwan has noticed a hole in its defense plans that is steadily getting bigger. And it's not one easily plugged by boosting the budget or buying more weapons.

The island democracy of 23.5 million is facing an increasing challenge in recruiting enough young men to meet its military targets and its Interior Ministry has suggested the problem is -- at least in part -- due to its stubbornly low birth rate.

Taiwan's population fell for the first time in 2020, according to the ministry, which warned earlier this year that the 2022 military intake would be the lowest in a decade and that a continued drop in the youth population would pose a "huge challenge" for the future.

That's bad news at a time when Taiwan is trying to bolster its forces to deter any potential invasion by China, whose ruling Communist Party has been making increasingly belligerent noises about its determination to "reunify" with the self-governed island -- which it has never controlled -- by force if necessary.

And the outlook has darkened further with the release of a new report by Taiwan's National Development Council projecting that by 2035 the island can expect roughly 20,000 fewer births per year than the 153,820 it recorded in 2021. By 2035, Taiwan will also overtake South Korea as the jurisdiction with the world's lowest birth rate, the report added.
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/12/16/asia ... index.html
"We all have our time machines, don't we. Those that take us back are memories...And those that carry us forward, are dreams."

-H.G Wells.
User avatar
wjfox
Site Admin
Posts: 8732
Joined: Sat May 15, 2021 6:09 pm
Location: London, UK
Contact:

Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by wjfox »

We Are Not Prepared for the Coming Surge of Babies

The post-Roe rise in births in the U.S. will be concentrated in some of the worst states for infant and maternal health. Plans to improve these outcomes are staggeringly thin.

By Melissa Jeltsen
December 16, 2022

A typical pregnancy lasts about 40 weeks. Roe v. Wade, the Supreme Court decision that created a constitutional right to abortion, was reversed less than six months ago. This means the U.S. is currently at a unique inflection point in the history of reproductive rights: early enough to see the immediate effects of Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization—closed clinics, a rapidly shifting map of abortion access—but too soon to measure the rise in babies born to mothers who did not wish to have them. Many of these babies will be born in states that already have the worst maternal- and child-health outcomes in the nation. Although the existence of these children is the goal of the anti-abortion movement, America is unprepared to adequately care for them and the people who give birth to them.

https://www.theatlantic.com/family/arch ... re/672479/
User avatar
ººº
Posts: 359
Joined: Fri Sep 16, 2022 3:54 am

Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by ººº »

Time_Traveller wrote: Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:57 am Taiwan military has a fertility problem: As China fears grow, its recruitment pool shrinks
Updated 2:50 AM EST, Sat December 17, 2022

Taipei, Taiwan(CNN) Taiwan has noticed a hole in its defense plans that is steadily getting bigger. And it's not one easily plugged by boosting the budget or buying more weapons.

The island democracy of 23.5 million is facing an increasing challenge in recruiting enough young men to meet its military targets and its Interior Ministry has suggested the problem is -- at least in part -- due to its stubbornly low birth rate.

Taiwan's population fell for the first time in 2020, according to the ministry, which warned earlier this year that the 2022 military intake would be the lowest in a decade and that a continued drop in the youth population would pose a "huge challenge" for the future.

That's bad news at a time when Taiwan is trying to bolster its forces to deter any potential invasion by China, whose ruling Communist Party has been making increasingly belligerent noises about its determination to "reunify" with the self-governed island -- which it has never controlled -- by force if necessary.

And the outlook has darkened further with the release of a new report by Taiwan's National Development Council projecting that by 2035 the island can expect roughly 20,000 fewer births per year than the 153,820 it recorded in 2021. By 2035, Taiwan will also overtake South Korea as the jurisdiction with the world's lowest birth rate, the report added.
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/12/16/asia ... index.html
Isn't China population much larger than Taiwan?
User avatar
Time_Traveller
Posts: 2095
Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 4:49 pm
Location: Clermont, Indiana, USA, October 7th 2019 B.C.E

Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by Time_Traveller »

ººº wrote: Sun Dec 18, 2022 3:26 pm
Time_Traveller wrote: Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:57 am Taiwan military has a fertility problem: As China fears grow, its recruitment pool shrinks
Updated 2:50 AM EST, Sat December 17, 2022

Taipei, Taiwan(CNN) Taiwan has noticed a hole in its defense plans that is steadily getting bigger. And it's not one easily plugged by boosting the budget or buying more weapons.

The island democracy of 23.5 million is facing an increasing challenge in recruiting enough young men to meet its military targets and its Interior Ministry has suggested the problem is -- at least in part -- due to its stubbornly low birth rate.

Taiwan's population fell for the first time in 2020, according to the ministry, which warned earlier this year that the 2022 military intake would be the lowest in a decade and that a continued drop in the youth population would pose a "huge challenge" for the future.

That's bad news at a time when Taiwan is trying to bolster its forces to deter any potential invasion by China, whose ruling Communist Party has been making increasingly belligerent noises about its determination to "reunify" with the self-governed island -- which it has never controlled -- by force if necessary.

And the outlook has darkened further with the release of a new report by Taiwan's National Development Council projecting that by 2035 the island can expect roughly 20,000 fewer births per year than the 153,820 it recorded in 2021. By 2035, Taiwan will also overtake South Korea as the jurisdiction with the world's lowest birth rate, the report added.
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/12/16/asia ... index.html
Isn't China population much larger than Taiwan?
Yes, it is. China's population is 1,425,887,337 as off 2022.
"We all have our time machines, don't we. Those that take us back are memories...And those that carry us forward, are dreams."

-H.G Wells.
Post Reply