To me, from an environmentalist perspective, a shrinking population is a good thing. Less negative pressure on the environment because there are fewer people around creating negative effects.
Even from an economic perspective, accumulated wealth being split among fewer people means more net wealth per person. Of course, that leaves aside issues concerning the concentration of wealth.
Of course, such demographic changes do involve other negative issues. An excess of retirement age individuals in relation to working age population can have obvious problems. This can be offset by an increase in productivity due to mechanization and robotization, but there is no guarantee as to how fortuitous the timing of such productivity gains may be.
Society & Demographics News and Discussions
Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions
Don't mourn, organize.
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Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions
Caltrek. I agree with you...Most of the pressure is in Africa and parts of Asia of course and that part of the world could use some serious birth control within my opinion.
We'd be better off with capping the world population at 2-3 billion.
We'd be better off with capping the world population at 2-3 billion.
Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions
Christians Could Become a Minority in The U.S. Within Decades
by Tom Hale
September 15, 2022
Introduction:
caltrek’s comment: This could account for paranoia among White Christians regarding replacement theory. One possible answer might be to allow more immigration from highly Christian Latin American countries. From a reactionary White Christian’s perspective this may not be desirable because such persons would not be White, and would tend to be Catholic. Catholics, for many Protestants and independent based Christians, can be seen as almost as bad or worse than atheists.
by Tom Hale
September 15, 2022
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.iflscience.com/christians- ... des-65346(IFL Science) If current trends continue, Christians could soon become a minority in the US within just a few decades, according to a new report. Social trends like this are notoriously hard to predict, but it's evident that the number of people following Christianity in the US has been slipping since the 1970s – and little seems to be stopping the demise.
In 1972, up to 90 percent of Americans identified as Christian. By 2020, that number had slipped to about 64 percent, while around 30 percent reported being religiously unaffiliated and all other religions – including Judaism, Islam, Hinduism, and Buddhism – accounted for just 6 percent of the population.
A new report by Pew Research has looked to see how this trend might continue under a few different scenarios. There are numerous factors that will influence this future, such as birth rates and migration patterns, but one of the most important is the rates of “religious switching” whereby people no longer identify with the religion they grew up with.
Under the first scenario, where no one in the US changes their religion after 2020, Christianity could claw onto a majority of 54 percent of the population by 2070. Meanwhile, the religiously unaffiliated would remain a substantial minority at 34 percent.
If religious switching among young Americans continued at current rates, Christians would slip below 50 percent of the population by 2060, accounting for 46 percent of the population in 2070. They would still be the largest religious group in the US, however.
caltrek’s comment: This could account for paranoia among White Christians regarding replacement theory. One possible answer might be to allow more immigration from highly Christian Latin American countries. From a reactionary White Christian’s perspective this may not be desirable because such persons would not be White, and would tend to be Catholic. Catholics, for many Protestants and independent based Christians, can be seen as almost as bad or worse than atheists.
Don't mourn, organize.
-Joe Hill
-Joe Hill
Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions
Global economy doubles in product every 15-20 years. Computer performance at a constant price doubles nowadays every 4 years on average. Livestock-as-food will globally stop being a thing by ~2050 (precision fermentation and more). Human stupidity, pride and depravity are the biggest problems of our world.
Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions
The Human Race at Eight Billion
by Stef W. Kight and Tory Lysik
November 15, 2022
Introduction:
by Stef W. Kight and Tory Lysik
November 15, 2022
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.axios.com/2022/11/14/globa ... humans-un(Axios) Eight billion humans are living on planet Earth — a huge milestone officially projected for and being recognized Tuesday by the U.N.
Why it matters: People are living longer, with generally better access to health care, food, clean water and sanitation than in past generations. A smaller share of humans live in extreme poverty.
• There are still challenges — ongoing ramifications from the pandemic, a record number of forcibly displaced people and worsening climate change.
“It is a momentous milestone for humanity," Natalia Kanem, executive director of the U.N. Population Fund (UNFPA), told reporters last month.
• "Some express concerns that our world is overpopulated with far too many people and insufficient resources to sustain their lives. I am here to say clearly, that the sheer number of human lives is not a cause for fear."
Don't mourn, organize.
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Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions
Taiwan military has a fertility problem: As China fears grow, its recruitment pool shrinks
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/12/16/asia ... index.htmlUpdated 2:50 AM EST, Sat December 17, 2022
Taipei, Taiwan(CNN) Taiwan has noticed a hole in its defense plans that is steadily getting bigger. And it's not one easily plugged by boosting the budget or buying more weapons.
The island democracy of 23.5 million is facing an increasing challenge in recruiting enough young men to meet its military targets and its Interior Ministry has suggested the problem is -- at least in part -- due to its stubbornly low birth rate.
Taiwan's population fell for the first time in 2020, according to the ministry, which warned earlier this year that the 2022 military intake would be the lowest in a decade and that a continued drop in the youth population would pose a "huge challenge" for the future.
That's bad news at a time when Taiwan is trying to bolster its forces to deter any potential invasion by China, whose ruling Communist Party has been making increasingly belligerent noises about its determination to "reunify" with the self-governed island -- which it has never controlled -- by force if necessary.
And the outlook has darkened further with the release of a new report by Taiwan's National Development Council projecting that by 2035 the island can expect roughly 20,000 fewer births per year than the 153,820 it recorded in 2021. By 2035, Taiwan will also overtake South Korea as the jurisdiction with the world's lowest birth rate, the report added.
"We all have our time machines, don't we. Those that take us back are memories...And those that carry us forward, are dreams."
-H.G Wells.
-H.G Wells.
Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions
We Are Not Prepared for the Coming Surge of Babies
The post-Roe rise in births in the U.S. will be concentrated in some of the worst states for infant and maternal health. Plans to improve these outcomes are staggeringly thin.
By Melissa Jeltsen
December 16, 2022
A typical pregnancy lasts about 40 weeks. Roe v. Wade, the Supreme Court decision that created a constitutional right to abortion, was reversed less than six months ago. This means the U.S. is currently at a unique inflection point in the history of reproductive rights: early enough to see the immediate effects of Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization—closed clinics, a rapidly shifting map of abortion access—but too soon to measure the rise in babies born to mothers who did not wish to have them. Many of these babies will be born in states that already have the worst maternal- and child-health outcomes in the nation. Although the existence of these children is the goal of the anti-abortion movement, America is unprepared to adequately care for them and the people who give birth to them.
https://www.theatlantic.com/family/arch ... re/672479/
The post-Roe rise in births in the U.S. will be concentrated in some of the worst states for infant and maternal health. Plans to improve these outcomes are staggeringly thin.
By Melissa Jeltsen
December 16, 2022
A typical pregnancy lasts about 40 weeks. Roe v. Wade, the Supreme Court decision that created a constitutional right to abortion, was reversed less than six months ago. This means the U.S. is currently at a unique inflection point in the history of reproductive rights: early enough to see the immediate effects of Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization—closed clinics, a rapidly shifting map of abortion access—but too soon to measure the rise in babies born to mothers who did not wish to have them. Many of these babies will be born in states that already have the worst maternal- and child-health outcomes in the nation. Although the existence of these children is the goal of the anti-abortion movement, America is unprepared to adequately care for them and the people who give birth to them.
https://www.theatlantic.com/family/arch ... re/672479/
Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions
Isn't China population much larger than Taiwan?Time_Traveller wrote: ↑Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:57 am Taiwan military has a fertility problem: As China fears grow, its recruitment pool shrinks
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/12/16/asia ... index.htmlUpdated 2:50 AM EST, Sat December 17, 2022
Taipei, Taiwan(CNN) Taiwan has noticed a hole in its defense plans that is steadily getting bigger. And it's not one easily plugged by boosting the budget or buying more weapons.
The island democracy of 23.5 million is facing an increasing challenge in recruiting enough young men to meet its military targets and its Interior Ministry has suggested the problem is -- at least in part -- due to its stubbornly low birth rate.
Taiwan's population fell for the first time in 2020, according to the ministry, which warned earlier this year that the 2022 military intake would be the lowest in a decade and that a continued drop in the youth population would pose a "huge challenge" for the future.
That's bad news at a time when Taiwan is trying to bolster its forces to deter any potential invasion by China, whose ruling Communist Party has been making increasingly belligerent noises about its determination to "reunify" with the self-governed island -- which it has never controlled -- by force if necessary.
And the outlook has darkened further with the release of a new report by Taiwan's National Development Council projecting that by 2035 the island can expect roughly 20,000 fewer births per year than the 153,820 it recorded in 2021. By 2035, Taiwan will also overtake South Korea as the jurisdiction with the world's lowest birth rate, the report added.
●●●●●●●●●
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Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions
Yes, it is. China's population is 1,425,887,337 as off 2022.ººº wrote: ↑Sun Dec 18, 2022 3:26 pmIsn't China population much larger than Taiwan?Time_Traveller wrote: ↑Sat Dec 17, 2022 10:57 am Taiwan military has a fertility problem: As China fears grow, its recruitment pool shrinks
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/12/16/asia ... index.htmlUpdated 2:50 AM EST, Sat December 17, 2022
Taipei, Taiwan(CNN) Taiwan has noticed a hole in its defense plans that is steadily getting bigger. And it's not one easily plugged by boosting the budget or buying more weapons.
The island democracy of 23.5 million is facing an increasing challenge in recruiting enough young men to meet its military targets and its Interior Ministry has suggested the problem is -- at least in part -- due to its stubbornly low birth rate.
Taiwan's population fell for the first time in 2020, according to the ministry, which warned earlier this year that the 2022 military intake would be the lowest in a decade and that a continued drop in the youth population would pose a "huge challenge" for the future.
That's bad news at a time when Taiwan is trying to bolster its forces to deter any potential invasion by China, whose ruling Communist Party has been making increasingly belligerent noises about its determination to "reunify" with the self-governed island -- which it has never controlled -- by force if necessary.
And the outlook has darkened further with the release of a new report by Taiwan's National Development Council projecting that by 2035 the island can expect roughly 20,000 fewer births per year than the 153,820 it recorded in 2021. By 2035, Taiwan will also overtake South Korea as the jurisdiction with the world's lowest birth rate, the report added.
"We all have our time machines, don't we. Those that take us back are memories...And those that carry us forward, are dreams."
-H.G Wells.
-H.G Wells.