That's the thing about being an oppressive military state. You will always have to fight and you'll never be loved....They don't respect their own people and that is sad.caltrek wrote: ↑Thu Apr 07, 2022 11:59 pm Gunmen Shoot Deputy Governor of Myanmar Central Bank
by Grant Peck
April 7, 2022
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wi ... k-83931264
Introduction:(AP via ABC News) BANGKOK -- A deputy governor of Myanmar’s Central Bank was shot at her home on Thursday, less than a week after tough new regulations were issued ordering that foreign money held in bank accounts in the military-ruled nation must be exchanged for the local currency.
There were conflicting accounts of whether Than Than Swe, appointed to her post after the military seized power, survived the attack.
She is believed to be the most senior official associated with the military-run administration to be shot since February last year, when the army ousted the elected government of Aung San Suu Kyi. The takeover triggered widespread peaceful protests that were quashed with lethal force, triggering armed resistance that some U.N. experts now characterize as civil war.
Than Than Swe was shot by two men when she opened the door to her apartment in Bahan township in Yangon, the country’s biggest city, said Thet Oo, a local official. He said she was taken to a military hospital where she was confirmed dead, but a report by the U.S. government-backed Radio Free Asia cited a military spokesman as saying she was being treated for her wounds.
Myanmar news and discussions
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Re: Myanmar news and discussions
Myanmar Crisis Center Stage At US-ASEAN Summit
May 13, 2022
May 13, 2022
Read more here: https://www.eurasiareview.com/13052022- ... an-summit/(Radio Free Asia via Eurasia Review) The ongoing upheaval in Myanmar took center stage on the first day of a U.S.-ASEAN Summit in Washington, as fellow bloc member Malaysia slammed the junta for refusing to engage with the country’s shadow government.
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) leaders held a lunch meeting with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and other lawmakers at the U.S. Capitol on Thursday to kick off two days of top-level meetings, which President Joe Biden hopes will bolster Washington’s ties with the bloc and increase its influence in the region.
Eight of ASEAN’s leaders made the trip to the U.S. for the summit, which marks the first time the White House extended an invitation to the group of nations in more than four decades. The Philippines declined to attend as it wraps up a presidential election this week, while Myanmar’s junta chief, Snr. Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, was barred from the summit amid a brutal crackdown on opponents of his military’s Feb. 1, 2021, coup that rights groups say has claimed the lives of at least 1,835 civilians.
U.S. State Department officials instead met with the foreign minister of the National Unity Government, Myanmar’s shadow government of deposed leaders and other junta critics working to take back control of the country.
The lunch event on Capitol Hill was closed to the press, but the situation in Myanmar was front and center on Thursday, after Malaysian Foreign Minister Saifuddin Abdullah called out junta officials in a series of tweets for failing to honor their commitment to end violence in the country. Specifically, he referred to the military regime’s refusal to allow the United Nations special envoy to the country, Noeleen Heyzer, to attend an ASEAN meeting last week to coordinate humanitarian aid to Myanmar.
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Role of External Powers in Keeping the Myanmar Military in Power
by P. K. Balachandran
August 1, 2022
Introduction:
by P. K. Balachandran
August 1, 2022
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.eurasiareview.com/01082022 ... analysis/(Eurasia Review) The Myanmar junta is losing on the military and economic fronts. And yet, it stays in power because the major regional and global powers either pussyfoot on it or support it in one way or another, experts on the country say.
For the first time since the late 1980s, the military rulers of Myanmar executed four pro-democracy activists on July 25, triggering outrage across the democratic world. Many wondered why the junta revived a practice thought to have been abandoned long ago. Zachary Abuza, Professor at the National War College in Washington DC, and an expert on South East Asia, appears to have the answer.
In a piece published by the Indonesian website Benar News Prof. Abuza says that it was the junta’s way of announcing to the world that it is not cowed by the reverses it has been facing in its war against ethnicity-based resistance groups or by the deteriorating performance of the Myanmar economy under its tutelage. With the ground situation getting out of control, the junta needed to flex its muscles to show that it still has the chutzpah to do its worst and to challenge its opponents to do their worst.
The junta has been losing in the multi-front military operations against the Ethnic Resistance Organizations (EROs) such as the Karen Army, the Kachin Independence Army and the Karen National Liberation Army. The last two are allies of the opposition National Unity Government (NUG) led by the now incarcerated Aung San Suu Kyi. According to Abuza, about 3000 government troops have joined the rebels and fresh recruitment has dwindled.
On the economic front, the South East Asia export points out, there has been a net loss of foreign investment. China appears to be the sole investor. Exports have come down sharply. The banking system is teetering. The World Bank has said that 40% of the population is below the poverty line. The Junta was feeling cornered.
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Myanmar Court Convicts Suu Kyi of Vote Fraud, Adds Jail Time
by Grant Peck
September 2, 2022
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.courthousenews.com/myanmar ... ail-time/
by Grant Peck
September 2, 2022
Introduction:
BANGKOK (AP via Courthouse News) — A court in Myanmar on Friday sentenced ousted leader Aung San Suu Kyi to three years imprisonment with labor after finding her guilty of election fraud, adding more jail time to the 17 years she is already serving for other offenses prosecuted by the military government.
The latest verdict also carries potentially significant political consequences for Suu Kyi’s National League for Democracy party by lending support to the government’s explicit threats to dissolve it before a new election the military has promised for 2023.
Suu Kyi’s party won the 2020 general election in a landslide victory, but the army seized power the following February and kept her from a second five-year term in office. The army contends it acted because of alleged widespread fraud in the polls though independent election observers did not find any major irregularities. Some critics of Senior Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, who led the takeover and is now Myanmar’s top leader, believe he acted because the vote thwarted his own political ambitions.
A spokesperson for the Bangkok-based Asian Network for Free Elections, a non-partisan poll-watching group, said Friday they did not observe any election fraud.
“Domestic election observers from Myanmar also did not see that,” Amaël Vier told The Associated Press. "There were improvements to be made for sure — we were still coming from a long way behind other democracies, in Myanmar — but the claims of the junta that 25% of voters were fraudulent? This does not hold up to our scrutiny, for sure.”
Read more here: https://www.courthousenews.com/myanmar ... ail-time/
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Aggressive Myanmar Military Along Bangladesh Border: Time To Take Steps To Stop War?
by John Rozario
September , 2022
Introduction:


Myanmar, also known as Burma
by John Rozario
September , 2022
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.eurasiareview.com/19092022 ... war-oped/(Eurasia Review) The world is witnessing a new level of aggression in Myanmar. However, conflicts and conflicts between the Myanmar Army and the armed Arakan Army are not new. However, the conflict between them has taken a new turn in the last few weeks. It has spread to neighboring areas including northern Rakhine, Maungdoo and Sittwe, along the Bangladesh-Myanmar border.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has summoned the country’s ambassador in connection with the ongoing shelling in Myanmar’s Rakhine state across the Ghumdhum border in Naikxyongchari upazila of Bandarban.
He was summoned for the fourth round in connection with the death of a Rohingya teenager and injuries to several others when a mortar shell fired by the country fell on the zero line on the Bangladesh border.
On Sunday (September 18) at 11:20 a.m., two people, including Myanmar’s ambassador to Dhaka, U Aung Kyaw Mo, came to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs after receiving an urgent summons.
On August 28, two mortar shells landed in Ghumdhum area of Naikxyongchari Upazila of Bandarban, near the zero point of the Bangladesh-Myanmar border. Although no one was injured, panic spread among the residents of the border area. Since then, the sound of gunshots has been heard almost every day. Among them, the country fired from two warplanes and two fighting helicopters.


Myanmar, also known as Burma
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ASEAN’s Strongest Statement To Date On Myanmar Still Falls Short
Translated by Ye Kaung Myint Maung. Written by Joshua Lipes.
November 17, 2022
Introduction:
Translated by Ye Kaung Myint Maung. Written by Joshua Lipes.
November 17, 2022
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.eurasiareview.com/17112022 ... analysis/(Radio Free Asia via Eurasia Review) A joint statement issued last week by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations is the strongest to date on resolving member state Myanmar’s political crisis, but should have barred junta delegates from attending its meetings, Myanmar’s shadow government said Tuesday.
On Nov. 13, ASEAN wrapped up its four-day annual summit in Phnom Penh with a call on the bloc’s foreign ministers to establish a specific timeline for “concrete, practical and measurable indicators” of progress in implementing a peace plan for Myanmar.
The Five Point Consensus, agreed to in April 2021, aims to end violence and restore democracy in Myanmar following the military coup against the elected government, but more than 21 months later, the country’s civil conflict rages on and the death toll continues to climb.
The junta has largely ignored the terms of the consensus despite a chorus of calls from rights groups and NGOs for its leaders to step down from power over what they say are military atrocities in Myanmar’s remote regions and its refusal to negotiate with opposition stakeholders it labels “terrorists.”
Among those stakeholders is the shadow National Unity Government, which on Tuesday applauded ASEAN’s statement, but called for an even stronger course of action against the military regime.
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Myanmar: International Outrage Without Action? – Analysis
by Jan Servaes
April 17, 2023
Introduction:
Conclusion:
by Jan Servaes
April 17, 2023
Introduction:
(Eurasia review) February 1 marked two years since Myanmar’s military, the Tatmadaw, launched a disastrous coup that has plunged the country into an economic slump. The State Administration Council (SAC) military junta continues to struggle to impose its rule across the country, while a coalition of activists and armed groups strenuously oppose the coup amid a spreading civil war.
Against the regime are hundreds of grassroots-level armed groups, including the People’s Defense Forces (PDFs), coordinated to some extent by the parallel government of national unity (NUG), with the cooperation of a number of long-fighting ethnic armed organizations (EAOs) against successive central governments.
“Peaceful protests, including the Civil Disobedience Movement (CDM), continue but have lost momentum and have been relegated to the back seat of the anti-junta struggle,” reads an overview by The Diplomat. According to the author, Naw Theresa, Myanmar is “in the grip of a nationwide struggle between two groups, neither of whom are seeking a peaceful political solution.”
Other observers take a more nuanced view of the situation from a historical perspective. For example, drawing on research during Myanmar’s decade of partial civilian rule (2011-2021), Gerard McCarthy examines how the bankrupt post-socialist junta in the 1990s and 2000s brokered market reforms and forced private and non-state actors to shoulder the burden on social security.
Conclusion:
Read more here: https://www.eurasiareview.com/17042023 ... analysis/It is highly questionable whether all this will change the mind of the junta, and in particular, junta chief Min Aung Hlaing. After all, it is an open secret that Myanmar’s military leaders deeply believe in various superstitions: astrology, occultism, numerology, black magic, yadaya. Min Aung Hlaing is no exception. On April 9, he and his wife Kyu Kyu Hla released two turtles on the Coco Islands as part of yadaya, or the Burmese form of voodoo. The junta boss thus prayed for a long life.
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The Ongoing Ethnic Conflict In Myanmar: Implications For Indo-Pacific Region
by Aishwarya Sanjukta Roy Proma
August 10, 2023
Introduction:
caltrek's comments: In the old forum, when the coup first became apparent, there were those who commented upon it in terms of being part of a larger conflict and struggle between China and the U.S. In that portion of the article not cited above, Ms. Proma develops the theme that the coup can be thought of in terms of a broader struggle between India and China.
We keep forgetting that the world is more than just the U.S. and everybody else. When it comes to issues like China, there are many with shared interests. So, a decline in U.S. influence and hegemony is complicated by opportunities for continued and even enhanced diplomatic and even military cooperation. In Myanmar (or Burma as some prefer to call it), such a coalition has yet to achieve success, yet the struggle continues such that it is also a little premature to declare China a "winner." Also, as suggested by the article, the leaders of the coup are acting first and foremost to enhance and extend their own power, and not as puppets of any particular power outside of the boundaries of that country.
by Aishwarya Sanjukta Roy Proma
August 10, 2023
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.eurasiareview.com/10082023 ... nalysis/(Eurasia Review) The ongoing conflict in Myanmar has characteristics that extend beyond its internal boundaries, including regional and global dimensions. The ongoing violence in Myanmar has significant implications for regional peace and security, thereby impacting the economic and political interests of global powers. Consequently, its ramifications have significant consequences for the strategic struggle within the Indo-Pacific region.
The escalation of violence in Myanmar may be attributed to many significant factors stemming from geopolitical competition among key global powers. The ongoing violence in Myanmar poses a significant challenge to the strategic interests of the United States, Japan, India, Australia, and Thailand. These nations have been assisting Myanmar in its efforts toward democratic transition and socio-economic development while also actively interacting with the country on a range of matters, including counter-terrorism, human rights, commerce, and connectivity.
The ongoing war in Myanmar presents significant humanitarian and refugee issues for neighboring countries, particularly Bangladesh, where over one million Rohingya refugees are now residing. The destabilization and compromised security of the region has significant implications for its economic and political interests. This situation presents a favorable prospect for China to augment its influence and power in the region, given its prominent role as Myanmar’s primary economic partner and political ally.
The violence in Myanmar has significantly and adversely affected its economy. The ongoing battle has resulted in a significant economic downturn, with projections indicating a contraction of around 18% in 2021. The ongoing conflict has resulted in a significant increase in inflation rates and a devaluation of the national currency, leading to a decline in the buying power and savings of the population.
In the first half of 2021, there was a decrease of 33% in exports and a decrease of 38% in imports. In the same time frame, there was a significant decline of 76% in foreign direct investment.
caltrek's comments: In the old forum, when the coup first became apparent, there were those who commented upon it in terms of being part of a larger conflict and struggle between China and the U.S. In that portion of the article not cited above, Ms. Proma develops the theme that the coup can be thought of in terms of a broader struggle between India and China.
We keep forgetting that the world is more than just the U.S. and everybody else. When it comes to issues like China, there are many with shared interests. So, a decline in U.S. influence and hegemony is complicated by opportunities for continued and even enhanced diplomatic and even military cooperation. In Myanmar (or Burma as some prefer to call it), such a coalition has yet to achieve success, yet the struggle continues such that it is also a little premature to declare China a "winner." Also, as suggested by the article, the leaders of the coup are acting first and foremost to enhance and extend their own power, and not as puppets of any particular power outside of the boundaries of that country.
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Re: Myanmar news and discussions
^^^Related to whether the coup should be considered a "win" for China. It should be noted that, referring to the coup, "China’s ambassador to Myanmar said the current situation in the country is 'absolutely not what China wants to see,' "
Source: https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/am ... -coup.html
Moreover, in a portion of the article linked below, but not included in the citation, it is noted that the "Brotherhood Alliance members are themselves territorially ambitious, but rely on China for arms." This is an armed alliance formed in opposition to the coup.
Finally:
Myanmar’s Military Junta Appears to be In Terminal Decline
by Ronan Lee
November 16, 2023
Introduction:
Source: https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/am ... -coup.html
Moreover, in a portion of the article linked below, but not included in the citation, it is noted that the "Brotherhood Alliance members are themselves territorially ambitious, but rely on China for arms." This is an armed alliance formed in opposition to the coup.
Finally:
Myanmar’s Military Junta Appears to be In Terminal Decline
by Ronan Lee
November 16, 2023
Introduction:
Read more here: https://theconversation.com/myanmars-m ... -217753(The Conversation) Myint Swe, the acting president of Mynamar’s military government, has warned that the country “will be split into various parts” after his armed forces suffered huge territorial losses to resistance fighters recently. His response was to call on Mynamar’s people to support his military forces, a call that is likely, based on previous experience, to fall mainly on deaf ears.
Far from sharing the military government’s fears of shrinking territorial control, it’s likely that most among Myanmar’s 55 million people will celebrate the army’s territorial losses. Junta misreads like this are not new – after they seized power in February 2021, the coup leaders indicated surprise when the coup met with widespread outrage and sustained public protest and resistance.
To quell opposition, military bosses have adopted a strategy of arbitrary arrest and extreme violence. The Assistance Association for Political Prisoners estimates 19,675 people are currently jailed – a figure which increases almost daily. Peaceful protests are met with army snipers and shoot-to-kill orders.
Myanmar’s military routinely responds to armed resistance by collectively punishing nearby civilian populations. This has included devastating airstrikes on civilian targets and scorched-earth “clearance operation” campaigns that have killed thousands of people and displaced more than 700,000 more. Rather than cowing the populace, junta violence continues to spur nationwide resistance.
Since September 2021, the National Unity Government (NUG), a shadow government in exile, has authorised a “defensive war” against the state military, pushing for the creation of militias targeting the junta and its economic base. NUG militias have increasingly coordinated with Myanmar’s dozens of ethnic armed groups, many of which have already been fighting the Tatmadaw (the junta’s military) for decades.
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Re: Myanmar news and discussions
Civil War in Myanmar: Internal And External Sources Of Sustenance
by Dr. Bibhu Prasad Routray
November 26, 2023
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.eurasiareview.com/26112023 ... analysis/
by Dr. Bibhu Prasad Routray
November 26, 2023
Introduction:
Later in this article it indicates that the Chinese government between February 2021 and May 2023 supplied advanced weapons systems worth $267 million to the military government of Myanmar.(Eurasia Review) Myanmar’s military wants to continue with its authoritarian model, whereby they continue to be politically paramount. This effectively translates into dominating and dictating the pace of democracy in the country, controlling while seeming to have withdrawn. This objective led it to declare the parliamentary elections held in 2020 as marred by fraud, thus appearing as the champion of clean and representative governance.
In reality, the opposition’s National Unity Government (NUG) led by the National League of Democracy (NLD), which swept the 2020 parliamentary elections, represents the voice of the people of Myanmar, who want the country to emerge out of the stranglehold of the military. The military’s proposed election is all about installing a facade, that will represent its interests, whereas the NLD-led opposition’s avowed objectives are to guide Myanmar to viable democracy, featuring civilian leadership and a military in its expected place guaranteeing security. Objectives of both parties, hence, are antithetical and irreconcilable.
Intense Violence
Not surprisingly, then, the last 32 months in Myanmar – those since the coup of February 2021 – have been marked by intense violence. Both the opposition and the military seem to have underestimated the strategy and conviction of the other. The initial response of the NLD to the coup was to organize a civil disobedience movement, in which people were encouraged to rally and protest peacefully in support of the opposition. Appealing to the good sense of the military and forcing it to reverse its decision was the intent. A robust military response led to the formation of People’s Defence Force (PDF) groups to fight fire with fire. Simultaneously, the military erred in judging the effectiveness of opposition adaptation to the requirements of an emerging civil war. A key determinant was the success of the NLD-led opposition groups in linking to the longtime, collective armed opposition posed by the battle-hardened ethnic armed organisations (EAOs). This negated any hope the military might have had of quickly stabilising the country.
Read more here: https://www.eurasiareview.com/26112023 ... analysis/
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It Is Too Early To Write Off Myanmar’s Junta
by Andrew Seith
December 16, 2023
Introduction:
by Andrew Seith
December 16, 2023
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.eurasiareview.com/16122023 ... nalysis/(Eurasia Review) In late October, an alliance of three ethnic armed organisations (EAO) launched a major offensive against Myanmar’s military regime in the north of the country. Soon afterwards, other EAOs and militia groups, including members of the opposition People’s Defence Force (PDF), took advantage of the regime’s troubles by opening new fronts in western, eastern and southern Myanmar.
To the surprise of many, the junta’s armed forces (or Tatmadaw) suffered a series of major defeats. According to unconfirmed news reports, at least four military bases, up to 300 smaller outposts and several major towns fell to the insurgents. Important trade and communications links to China and India were cut. Large quantities of arms and ammunition, including some heavy weapons, were captured.
As Richard Horsey has written, these victories constituted ‘the biggest battlefield challenge to the military since the February 2021 coup’. Indeed, they may be the most significant setbacks to a central government in Myanmar since independence in 1948. As a result, there has been a strategic shift in the civil war, and in the balance of power in the country.
Inevitably, perhaps, these developments prompted a rash of stories in the news media and online, trumpeting the insurgents’ successes. Myanmar was said to be ‘at a tipping point’. Pundits, journalists and activists claimed that the junta was ‘mortally wounded’, ‘in a death spiral’, even ‘on the brink of collapse’.
There were also some statements to the effect that the junta had lost control of the country, which was ‘on the verge of disintegration’. The Council on Foreign Relations called on the US government to prepare for the end of the Myanmar Army, which one analyst predicted would ‘collapse in waves across the country’.
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Surpassing Afghanistan, War-wracked Myanmar Now the World’s Top Opium Producer
December 12, 2023
Introduction:
December 12, 2023
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/15081603(AP via Asahi Shimbun) BANGKOK--Myanmar, already wracked by a brutal civil war, has regained the unenviable title of the world’s biggest opium producer, according to a U.N. agency report released Tuesday.
The Southeast Asian country’s opium output has topped that of Afghanistan, where the ruling Taliban imposed a ban on its production, the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime said in its “Southeast Asia Opium Survey 2023."
The Taliban’s ban has led to a 95% drop in the cultivation of opium poppies, UNODC said last month. Opium, the base from which morphine and heroin are produced, is harvested from poppy flowers.
From 2022 to 2023, Myanmar saw the estimated amount of land used to grow the illicit crop increase 18% to 47,100 hectares (116,400 acres), the new UNODC report said.
“Although the area under cultivation has not returned to historic peaks of nearly 58,000 ha (143,300 acres) cultivated in 2013, after three consecutive years of increases, poppy cultivation in Myanmar is expanding and becoming more productive,” it said.
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Myanmar: Women and Children Suffer Amid Civil War
by Khin Khin Ei and Khet Mar
January 1, 2024
Introduction:
by Khin Khin Ei and Khet Mar
January 1, 2024
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.eurasiareview.com/01012024 ... nalysis/(RFA via Eurasia Review) As Myanmar’s civil war approaches its third year, intensified fighting across the country this year between ruling junta forces and resistance fighters has destroyed villages and parts of towns, displacing hundreds of thousands of civilians, most of whom are women and children.
The number of internally displaced persons, or IDPs, reached more than 1 million this year, nearly 11,000 of whom fled to neighboring India and Thailand, according to a United Nations report.
“The lives and properties of our people were destroyed,” said Zin Mar Aung, foreign affairs minister under the parallel National Unity Government, noting the junta’s burning of villages, air strikes targeting civilians and mass killings.
At least 330 women died this year as a result of attacks by junta forces amid the escalation of armed conflict, said Tin Tin Nyo, general secretary of the Women’s League of Burma.
“The number of civilian casualties increased due to artillery attacks and air strikes,” she told Radio Free Asia. “Most of the victims were women, children and the elderly.”
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Myanmar: Ethnic Army Overruns Junta Command Center in Kokang Region
January 8, 2024
Introduction:
January 8, 2024
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.eurasiareview.com/08012024 ... -region/(Radio Free Asia via Eurasia Review) Ethnic rebels have overrun a key military command center in northern Myanmar, taking control of the city of Laukkai and accepting the surrender of hundreds of soldiers, in what analysts called a stunning blow to the junta’s grasp on power in the region.
Fighters with the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army, or MNDAA, stormed the junta’s Kokang regional command center, the largest base in northern Shan state near the Chinese border late on Thursday, prompting soldiers in the facility to lay down their arms, despite the military’s attempt to defend the facility from afar with artillery fire and airstrikes.
Zachary Abuza, a professor at the National War College in Washington and an adjunct at Georgetown University who writes commentaries to Radio Free Asia, called the MNDAA’s occupation of the Laukkaing Regional Operation Command “a significant development” in the conflict between the military and anti-junta forces.
“This was the regional operational command headquarters, and that [the military] surrendered in the end without a shot being fired is both very significant and telling that the regime could not support them beyond airstrikes,” he said in comments emailed to RFA.
The MNDAA seized control of the facility in Kokang’s capital Laukkai despite military assets that included heavy weapons, armored vehicles and a vast stockpile of arms and ammunition, as well as soldiers from the junta’s 55th Division. The division was recently mobilized to contend with an ethnic offensive that has made significant gains in Shan state since its launch in late October.
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What China Wants Out of Myanmar’s Civil War
by Ellen Ioanes
January14, 2024
Introduction:
by Ellen Ioanes
January14, 2024
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.vox.com/world-politics/202 ... w-china(Vox) In Myanmar, a brief ceasefire between a powerful alliance of ethnic armed groups and the ruling military junta appears to have been broken just hours after it was negotiated at China’s urging.
The Three Brotherhood Alliance, one of the factions fighting in a coordinated armed struggle against the Tatmadaw (Myanmar’s military junta), agreed to the ceasefire Friday in the Chinese provincial capital of Kunming, about 250 miles from Myanmar’s northeast border with China. The ceasefire provision was seemingly limited to Shan state, which borders China, and aimed at protecting Chinese interests and civilians in the region.
But by Friday, the military had broken the agreement, according to a statement from the Ta’ang National Liberation Army (TNLA), one of the ethnic armed groups, along with the Arakan Army and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army, in the Three Brotherhood Alliance. The junta attacked multiple positions in northern Shan State Friday and Saturday, the Irrawaddy and local Burmese outlets reported. Vox is unable to independently verify the claims.
The ceasefire came after multiple rounds of talks between the Tatmadaw and the Three Brotherhood Alliance. Both sides reportedly broke a previous ceasefire agreement negotiated last month, and some observers did not expect the current agreement to hold.
“The three parties, the three ethnic armed organizations up on the border actually had no intention in participating in these talks and did so really only because of very strong Chinese pressure,” Jason Tower, country director for the Burma program at the US Institute of Peace, told Vox. “And I think that the ceasefire was really doomed to fail from the outset, given that there was just no intention on the part of the different parties to seriously engage in any form of deeper dialogue about the situation.”
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Arakan Army Resistance Force Says It Has Taken Control of a Strategic Township in Western Myanmar
January 16, 2024
Introduction:
January 16, 2024
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/15114003(Asahi Shimbun) BANGKOK--A powerful ethnic armed group fighting Myanmar’s military that is based in the country’s western state of Rakhine has seized a township bordering India and Bangladesh, the group declared Monday, confirming accounts by local residents and media.
Paletwa is the first township reported to fall to the Arakan Army, which launched surprise attacks beginning in mid-November on military targets in Paletwa, which is in Chin state, and townships in Rakhine. Paletwa is just north of Rakhine and borders both Bangladesh and India.
Khaing Thukha, a spokesperson for the Arakan Army, told The Associated Press on Monday that the entire Paletwa region has become a “Military Council-free area,” referring to the ruling military government.
“The administrative mechanism and clutches of the military council have come to an end. The administration, security and the rule of law for Paletwa region will be implemented as needed,” Khaing Thukha said in text messages.
The military government made no immediate comment.
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How Cyberscams are Drawing China into Myanmar’s Civil War
by Joshua Keating
January 18, 2024
Extract:
by Joshua Keating
January 18, 2024
Extract:
Read more here: https://www.vox.com/world-politics/202 ... chering(Vox) In addition to their long-term aim of overthrowing the military government, one they share with a variety of other groups throughout the country, the Three Brotherhood Alliance also vowed to “eradicate telecom fraud, scam dens and their patrons nationwide, including in areas along the China-Myanmar border.”
…
If you’re reading this, you’re a person with access to the internet, which means that chances are, you’ve already been targeted by one of these scams. Here’s how it works: You get a conversational text or a message on a service like WhatsApp that appears to be a wrong number. The seemingly innocent texts may lead to a conversation that could involve the promise of an exciting love affair or a valuable business opportunity. But these messages are, in fact, written by people forced into service thousands of miles away, and they are actually the first step in a scam that can end with the victim wiring large amounts of money into the scammers’ accounts.
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Criminal groups began luring young, tech-savvy workers from around the world with the promise of tech jobs, then holding those workers against their will in tightly controlled compounds. “People really believe that they’re applying for legitimate jobs. The companies seem legitimate, they often go through a process of multiple interviews,” said Rebecca Miller, regional program director for human trafficking at the UN Office on Drugs and Crime in Bangkok.
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Beijing is clearly losing patience with the chaos on its borders and in particular with the scam centers targeting Chinese citizens as both scam victims and trafficking victims. It has repeatedly urged the Myanmar government to do more to crack down on the centers, albeit with little result.
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So last September China began cracking down on its own, issuing arrest warrants for government-linked militia officials in Myanmar’s northeastern Wa state, on the Chinese border, accusing them of being “kingpins” in the scams. That prompted a crackdown that resulted in thousands of people being returned to China from scam compounds in the state. The government also arrested 11 officials with ties to pro-government militias in Kokang state after luring them across the border to a folk festival in early October
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Re: Myanmar news and discussions
Exclusive: 'For all I know, she could be dead' says son of Myanmar's Suu Kyi
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-paci ... 025-12-15/
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-paci ... 025-12-15/
Re: Myanmar news and discussions
Myanmar Pro-military Party Claims Huge Lead in Contentious Elections
By Caolán Magee
December 29, 2025
Introduction:
By Caolán Magee
December 29, 2025
Introduction:
Read more here: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12 ... lections/(Al Jazeera) Myanmar’s main pro-military party has claimed an overwhelming lead in the first phase of elections organised by the country’s military rulers as critics warn that the tightly controlled vote is designed to cement the position of the ruling party.
The first round of voting on Sunday is to be followed by two further rounds on January 11 and January 25. Voting has been cancelled in 65 townships.
A senior official from the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) told the AFP news agency the party had won 82 of 102 seats in the lower house of the legislature in townships where counting had been completed, suggesting it secured more than 80 percent of the seats contested in Sunday’s vote.
The official added that the party had also won all eight townships in the capital, Naypyidaw. Official figures have yet to be published by Myanmar’s Union Election Commission.
The United Nations human rights chief has condemned the elections, citing a crackdown on dissent, while campaign groups have criticised candidate lists dominated by figures aligned with the military.
Don't mourn, organize.
-Joe Hill
-Joe Hill