2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread
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- Posts: 14248
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm
Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
2024 GE: @CBSNewsPoll
ARIZONA
Trump 52% (+5)
Biden 47%
.
FLORIDA
Trump 54% (+9)
Biden 45%
YouGov | #4 (2.9/3.0) | 5/10-16 | 2,374 LV
https://cbsnews.com/news/trump-bid
@IAPolls2022
2024 GE: @CBSNewsPoll
ARIZONA
Trump 52% (+5)
Biden 47%
.
FLORIDA
Trump 54% (+9)
Biden 45%
YouGov | #4 (2.9/3.0) | 5/10-16 | 2,374 LV
https://cbsnews.com/news/trump-bid
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Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread
@DecisionDeskHQ
Polling Average
NEVADA
Trump: 50.4% (+6.8)
Biden: 43.6%
.
ARIZONA
Trump: 48.9% (+6.1)
Biden: 42.8%
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GEORGIA
Trump: 49.4% (+6.1)
Biden: 43.3%
.
NORTH CAROLINA
Trump: 50.1% (+4.6)
Biden: 45.5%
.
MICHIGAN
Trump: 49.0% (+4.0)
Biden: 45.0%
PENNSYLVANIA
Trump: 47.7% (+1.7)
Biden: 46.0%
WISCONSIN
Trump: 47.7% (+0.8)
Biden: 46.9%
—
EC Based on polls
Trump 312 (+86)
Biden 226
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@polymarket
odds
Trump 52% (+10)
Biden 42%
https://polymarket.com/elections
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https://elections2024.thehill.com/national/biden
Polling Average
NEVADA
Trump: 50.4% (+6.8)
Biden: 43.6%
.
ARIZONA
Trump: 48.9% (+6.1)
Biden: 42.8%
.
GEORGIA
Trump: 49.4% (+6.1)
Biden: 43.3%
.
NORTH CAROLINA
Trump: 50.1% (+4.6)
Biden: 45.5%
.
MICHIGAN
Trump: 49.0% (+4.0)
Biden: 45.0%
PENNSYLVANIA
Trump: 47.7% (+1.7)
Biden: 46.0%
WISCONSIN
Trump: 47.7% (+0.8)
Biden: 46.9%
—
EC Based on polls
Trump 312 (+86)
Biden 226
—
@polymarket
odds
Trump 52% (+10)
Biden 42%
https://polymarket.com/elections
—
https://elections2024.thehill.com/national/biden
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- Posts: 14248
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Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread
@FiveThirtyEight
Polling Average (5/20)
National
Trump 41.3% (+1.4)
Biden 39.9%
RFK Jr 9.8%
May 20, 2020: Biden +6.0
Final average: Biden +8.4
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1792737127421128775
Polling Average (5/20)
National
Trump 41.3% (+1.4)
Biden 39.9%
RFK Jr 9.8%
May 20, 2020: Biden +6.0
Final average: Biden +8.4
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1792737127421128775
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- Posts: 14248
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm
Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread
Harvard/Harris
Trump 49% (+6)
Biden 43%
With leans
Trump 53% (+6)
Biden 47%
—
Trump 45% (+5)
Biden 40%
RFK Jr 14%
https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-conten ... esults.pdf
Trump 49% (+6)
Biden 43%
With leans
Trump 53% (+6)
Biden 47%
—
Trump 45% (+5)
Biden 40%
RFK Jr 14%
https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-conten ... esults.pdf
Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread
Here is a rundown of Tuesday primary election results (excluding presidential race):
https://rollcall.com/2024/05/22/key-res ... nd-idaho/
https://rollcall.com/2024/05/22/key-res ... nd-idaho/
Don't mourn, organize.
-Joe Hill
-Joe Hill
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- Posts: 14248
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm
Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1793316776488337897
@Polymarket
- Trump's odds of winning in 2024 have reached an all-time high.
April 18
Biden 45% (+2)
Trump 43%
.
May 22
Trump 56% (+17)
Biden 39%
Net 19 point swing towards Trump
@Polymarket
- Trump's odds of winning in 2024 have reached an all-time high.
April 18
Biden 45% (+2)
Trump 43%
.
May 22
Trump 56% (+17)
Biden 39%
Net 19 point swing towards Trump
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- Posts: 14248
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm
Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread
#BREAKING: President Joe Biden will not appear on Ohio’s November presidential ballot, according to Secretary of State
https://x.com/rawsalerts/status/1793335427832893579
https://x.com/rawsalerts/status/1793335427832893579
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- Posts: 1085
- Joined: Wed Oct 12, 2022 7:45 am
Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread
More on that by Democracy Docket:
https://www.democracydocket.com/news-al ... er-ballot/
Thankfully it's not like Ohio is a competitive state anyway.
https://www.democracydocket.com/news-al ... er-ballot/
Thankfully it's not like Ohio is a competitive state anyway.
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- Posts: 14248
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm
Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread
2024 GE: [Among Likely Voters]
Trump: 51% [+3]
Biden: 49% [-3]
Net 6 points swing towards Trump from March
[+/- change vs March]
—
• @MULawPoll
| 538: #3 (3.0/3.0)
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1793511101302538677
Trump: 51% [+3]
Biden: 49% [-3]
Net 6 points swing towards Trump from March
[+/- change vs March]
—
• @MULawPoll
| 538: #3 (3.0/3.0)
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1793511101302538677
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- Posts: 14248
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm
Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread
Polling USA
@USA_Polling
North Carolina Polling:
Presidential:
Trump (R): 44%
Biden (D): 42%
Governor:
Robinson (R): 39%
Stein (D): 34%
High Point U. / May 9, 2024 / n=804
https://x.com/USA_Polling/status/1793674955445465229
@USA_Polling
North Carolina Polling:
Presidential:
Trump (R): 44%
Biden (D): 42%
Governor:
Robinson (R): 39%
Stein (D): 34%
High Point U. / May 9, 2024 / n=804
https://x.com/USA_Polling/status/1793674955445465229