Future Timeline

wjfox wrote: ↑Sun Sep 18, 2022 2:02 pm

wjfox wrote: ↑Sun Oct 02, 2022 10:56 am TL;DR – cases declining globally, but U.S. will likely continue to see low-level transmission, indefinitely.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/01/monkeyp ... -says.html

(European Congress of Clinical Microbiology & Infectious Diseases via Eurekalert) Did the recent mpox (formerly known as monkeypox) outbreak end because of “network immunity”? That’s the theory being put forward by Belgian researchers at this year’s European Congress of Clinical Microbiology & Infectious Diseases (ECCMID) in Copenhagen, Denmark (15-18 April).

2022 saw a global outbreak of mpox, a viral infection that had not previously been documented as having sustained person-to-person transmission outside of Africa. There were more than 85,000 cases worldwide, with men who have sex with men at highest risk.

Cases rose rapidly from May 2022, before starting to decline a few months later. The reasons the outbreak waned are unclear.

Researcher Dr Christophe Van Dijck, of the Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium, says: “The rapid rise in cases in May 2022 was likely caused by efficient viral transmission during sexual contact between individuals with high partner turnover in a dense and geographically extended sexual network.

“Insufficient knowledge of the disease as well as asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic transmission may have enhanced disease spreading. “

(Eurekalert) While mpox cases have sharply declined since the 2022 global outbreak, they continue to occur in the U.S. among gay and bisexual men who have sex with men (GBMSM), according to a UCLA-led study from EMERGEncy ID NET, a multisite surveillance network funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

Though no cases were found in women, children or the unhoused, vigilance and vaccination remain important, the researchers write.

The findings will be published June 6 in the CDC’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report.

Public health officials are currently closely monitoring a new mpox strain in the Democratic Republic of the Congo because it appears to be more transmissible and virulent, said study co-lead Dr. Carl Berdahl, assistant professor of medicine and emergency medicine at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles.

“Clinicians should remain vigilant for mpox infections, particularly in GBMSM, and educate patients on risk reduction, including the importance of vaccination,” Berdahl said.