firestar464 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 25, 2024 4:22 pm
I think the US Semiquincentennial (2026) is not going to be a diverse celebration anymore but rather just a glazing session for Trump
You didn't need to say Semiquincentennial (2026). It's just as accurate now to predict "I think the US is not going to be a diverse celebration anymore but rather just a glazing session for Trump," for the next four years or so.
According to the IFS, an ongoing decline in birth rates in the UK means that there will be 700,000 fewer children in school by 2030, than in 2024.
Everyone starting school at Reception age in school year 2029/30 is already born, and those currently in Year 6 at primary school will take their GCSEs in June 2030.
As a personal anecdote, the local primary school in the village that I live (in Somerset, UK) has closed at the start of September 2024 (as have several surrounding villages in recent years) due to a lack of new children.
I have strong doubts due to the high likelihood Bitcoin will be replaced by something else. AI will play a larger role in innovations, thus pushing the exponential curve of technological progression further.
To know is essentially the same as not knowing. The only thing that occurs is the rearrangement of atoms in your brain.
Bitcoin won’t make it that far. This market cycle it’s expanding into institutional capital funds, next cycle there is no larger pool of capital to expand into unless it replaces the dollar which isn’t happening. It also has security model problems that will become a problem around the 2030s causing chain failures due to adversarial miners exploiting the chain to remain profitable as the emissions reward drops under the cost to produce bitcoin.
2045 - 2050: Human activity has added 1,000 Gigatons of Carbon to the atmosphere
In 2022, the total amount of carbon added to the Earth's system by human activity since the year 1870 reached 703 Gigatons. At its current increase of around 11 Gt per year, one excess Teraton relative to 1870 will be in the atmosphere by the 2050s.
2035–2040 – The Guowang megaconstellation is fully operational
HUGE new satellite constellation being planned by China. The schedule isn't known for sure, but I've asked ChatGPT about this, and it's given me some useful references to work with.
2055 – Gene editing can prevent common human diseases
"Although it is not currently possible to target hundreds or thousands of polymorphisms simultaneously using gene editing, the rapid development of gene editing technology (for example, CRISPR–Cas9 gene editing was first reported in 2012), including advances in multiplex gene editing, leads us to believe that we might be one human generation (about 30 years) away from it becoming technically possible to perform gene editing on tens or hundreds of variants that are causal for common diseases."