Search found 1184 matches

by funkervogt
Sat Mar 16, 2024 6:49 pm
Forum: Culture, Economics & Politics of the Future
Topic: 2050 predictions
Replies: 15
Views: 14855

Re: 2050 predictions

-I think some kind of American secession crisis before this date is entirely possible. I can't really see how a civil war would work, though I confess I'm no expert on the subject. As an American, I think the likeliest cause would be a disputed election result. Imagine a replay of the 2020 election...
by funkervogt
Sat Mar 16, 2024 6:36 pm
Forum: Culture, Economics & Politics of the Future
Topic: 2050 predictions
Replies: 15
Views: 14855

Re: 2050 predictions

How 2050 will be different from today: -Plausible (40%+ chance) that true AGI will exist. -Even if AGI has not yet been invented, narrow AIs will be vastly better than they are today and will perform countless niche tasks better and cheaper than humans. Many of them will be paired with robot bodies....
by funkervogt
Sat Mar 16, 2024 3:08 pm
Forum: Culture, Economics & Politics of the Future
Topic: 2050 predictions
Replies: 15
Views: 14855

Re: 2050 predictions

By 2050, non-Hispanic whites will become a minority in the U.S.
https://apnews.com/article/growth-popul ... ba5d7cdade
by funkervogt
Sat Mar 16, 2024 3:02 pm
Forum: Culture, Economics & Politics of the Future
Topic: 2050 predictions
Replies: 15
Views: 14855

Re: 2050 predictions

Assuming the singularity isn't happening, with or without AGI a lot of the world will start looking more like this including now developed nations. AGI alone will not stop the ecological crises, that's something we as people have to desire to do, especially if we misalign AGI's priorities and feed ...
by funkervogt
Tue Mar 12, 2024 11:55 pm
Forum: Computers & the Internet
Topic: Why not use a server to heat the water in your house?
Replies: 3
Views: 27977

Re: Why not use a server to heat the water in your house?

To elaborate on the idea, heat generated by the servers would first be shunted into a district heating network to heat nearby support buildings and worker housing. The remainder would be pumped back into the river. I envision mini towns built around data centers, their accompanying power plants, and...
by funkervogt
Tue Mar 12, 2024 11:45 pm
Forum: Images, Podcasts & Videos
Topic: Ray Kurzweil on the Joe Rogan show
Replies: 7
Views: 3364

Ray Kurzweil on the Joe Rogan show

"Exponential" got flung around so many times it nearly ruptured the spacetime continuum.


This is the most sluggish I've ever seen Ray. The 80 pills a day can only help so much at his age.
by funkervogt
Sat Mar 02, 2024 12:34 am
Forum: Military & War
Topic: Ukraine War Watch Thread
Replies: 3448
Views: 1586129

Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

Interesting to look back on this essay by a Russian blogger from two years ago. The war hasn't ended yet, but out of the six possible outcomes he forecast, #2 seems the likeliest right now. He predicted there was a 90% chance it WOULDN'T end that way. 2. Bloody slog, “draw” (10%) — Russia’s military...
by funkervogt
Thu Feb 29, 2024 3:14 am
Forum: Off Topic & General Discussion
Topic: My random thoughts
Replies: 423
Views: 375409

Re: My random thoughts

If we all turn into technologically unemployed UBI bums, won't we start having more children like today's unemployed welfare bums? Won't that solve the depopulation crisis?
by funkervogt
Fri Feb 23, 2024 2:25 am
Forum: Military & War
Topic: Ukraine War Watch Thread
Replies: 3448
Views: 1586129

Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

The fall of Avidiivka may have been more damaging than thought. Up to 1,000 Ukrainian defenders are still missing, and the number captured by Russian troops could be in the hundreds. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/20/us/politics/ukraine-prisoners-avdiivka-russia.html It's worth noting that I remem...