Future Timeline

Definitely examples there of only understanding linear and not exponential growth. I would not comment on anything achievable by an AI beyond the boundary of the next two to three years at maximum.

Amazing.

Based on what was seen last year we averaged one "major" breakthrough every month or so, at that rate I doubt we will see AGI or at least what many would define as AGI this year.

Very significant progress will be made with regards to autonomous vehicles, we will see drone delivery in testing phases, we will see an even larger amount of total work automated and fewer new jobs will be created. Several companies become fully autonomous and function with effectively no full time...

I was looking for the 2021 prediction thread to see some of the posts and whether they had been updated to reflect the year's technological progress, has anyone from that board got an updated list of predictions?

I do believe that it will not require anymore than three years to reach beyond the limits of the Turing Test. This time in 2018 GPT-2 was the most advanced AI chatbot, that has been surpassed several orders of magnitude in the years since there is no way that by 2024 or 2025 even if the growth someh...

https://www.reddit.com/r/technews/comments/r885m7/ai_training_is_outpacing_moores_law/ The days and sometimes weeks it took to train AIs only a few years ago was a big reason behind the launch of billions of dollars-worth of new computing startups over the last few years—including Cerebras Systems,...

A lot of the practical applications of machines will not require AI to function much better than it does now in 2021. Generally most of a specific task can be replicated and you really do not need to achieve anything beyond that. It is more likely that machines remain stupid but grouped via some for...

There is a zero percent chance that any machine with 100 zettaflops of computing power would be less intelligent than a human being. Such computational ability is several orders of magnitude above anything the human brain can compete with. As for a prediction, it would be likely that in 2045 The Sin...

As an avid reader of Yuli-Bans predictions it is very exciting to see synthetic media advance, imagine the sort of things we could enjoy a few years from today merely by having an AI generate it.

Audiobooks read by whomever you like are something expect to see interesting next few years.